Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42baac59d70e3e5b1398e6b515525f8ca2e8bdde338c460e9e296d917f37ccb2

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $511,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $313,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,860 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfd07…6bb7backed Yes	0c	48,900$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.9	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ec…c5d6backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	5c	11,000$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	11c	10,815$1,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,198.76	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	9,560$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.89	552	5.6%31 W · 521 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	8c	9,286$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.67	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	3c	8,974$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.61	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	8,109$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.83	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	8,101$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.11	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	15c	6,411$933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$933.23	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	6c	6,329$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.23	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9d0…542cbacked Yes	0c	5,800$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	0c	5,555$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.55	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	0c	5,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	16c	5,229$827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$826.54	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b3…98f4backed Yes	0c	5,006$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	4,879$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.3	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2723…8d2dbacked Yes	3c	4,267$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	7c	3,887$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.59	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	3,741$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.02	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	10c	3,548$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.95	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	3c	3,050$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.99	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	7c	2,858$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.27	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	11c	2,754$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.42	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	5c	2,752$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.62	136	11.8%16 W · 120 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	1c	2,540$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.88	50	2%1 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	2,524$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.18	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	0c	2,496$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.83	781	8.7%68 W · 713 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	6c	2,384$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.8	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	20c	2,354$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.79	161	22.4%36 W · 125 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf1f…3537backed Yes	1c	2,334$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	11c	2,327$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.34	312	24.7%77 W · 235 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	4c	2,300$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.91	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	12c	2,300$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.63	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	17c	2,223$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.44	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	2,216$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	2c	2,192$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.77	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	2,155$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.37	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	5c	2,128$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.26	405	19.8%80 W · 325 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	15c	2,057$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.33	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	2,013$1,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.58	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	2c	2,000$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.97	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	1,971$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.14	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	22c	1,936$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.72	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	1c	1,900$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.3	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Yes	12c	1,804$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.46	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1f4…2a00backed Yes	7c	1,721$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	6c	1,520$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.7	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	1c	1,500$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	3c	1,498$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.48	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f69…cf59backed Yes	4c	1,476$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.73	107	10.3%11 W · 96 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	13c	1,379$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.81	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	8c	1,356$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.41	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	8c	1,317$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.99	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x984f…ba69backed Yes	13c	1,270$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.34	158	17.7%28 W · 130 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	2c	1,252$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.17	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	17c	1,239$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.06	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	16c	1,220$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.82	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	2c	1,200$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.13	797	11.3%90 W · 707 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	17c	1,179$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.91	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc13…c991backed Yes	11c	1,153$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.12	159	24.5%39 W · 120 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb86…dc7bbacked Yes	25c	1,145$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.08	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	3c	1,136$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.84	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	15c	1,079$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.95	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	6c	1,000$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6db…cdd2backed Yes	1c	1,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	46	4.3%2 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-93.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No	77c	999.99$768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.5	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	19c	975$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.66	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac4…1819backed Yes	11c	947.76$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	94	27.7%26 W · 68 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	6c	939.22$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.29	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	16c	875.7$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.54	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes	20c	852.67$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.33	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x621e…b532backed Yes	13c	798.39$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.21	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	8c	773.68$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.91	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x055a…7bbcbacked No	80c	724.47$577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.29	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	7c	709.97$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.1	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	11c	678$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.67	731	15.2%111 W · 620 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	8c	660.01$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x652e…4a94backed Yes	11c	647.7$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.18	133	23.3%31 W · 102 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x254f…cf10backed Yes	2c	620$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcbe…b37cbacked Yes	20c	610$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.95	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	2c	607.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	558	8.2%46 W · 512 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb5a…1537backed Yes	13c	606.95$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.88	155	19.4%30 W · 125 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	15c	598.07$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.76	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	3c	570$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.91	578	11.4%66 W · 512 L	+19.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf61f…1cf3backed Yes	14c	568.54$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.57	129	19.4%25 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes	3c	557.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.67	117	4.3%5 W · 112 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	7c	555.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa801…7310backed Yes	5c	550$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	-6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	16c	523.58$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.15	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	12c	523.51$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.04	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	24c	516.58$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.95	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe53d…146cbacked Yes	12c	511.95$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.76	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5312…9e9bbacked Yes	8c	505.97$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.76	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c11…ef93backed Yes	23c	500$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.5	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	22c	500$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.5	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	6c	500$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	351	12.8%45 W · 306 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	24c	500$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.5	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255e…a4cdbacked Yes	3c	500$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	39	10.3%4 W · 35 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe906…ae2bbacked Yes	7c	499.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	81	9.9%8 W · 73 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event