TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, OG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$532,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$608,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $532,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04f6…f24abacked OG13c32,543$4,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,382.2250347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team70c26,599$18,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,054.811,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed BetBoom Team77c17,240$13,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,045.3530667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked OG14c15,442$2,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,215.2512159.5%72 W · 49 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked BetBoom Team59c12,455$7,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,138.8589341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked OG29c11,650$3,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,378.510540%42 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed BetBoom Team71c10,287$7,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,994.3815951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked BetBoom Team60c8,980$5,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,571.4932549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked OG27c8,572$2,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,318.828360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked OG25c8,491$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.9925446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed OG32c8,000$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.9429952.2%156 W · 143 L+19.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2929…1dd0backed OG42c6,477$2,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70116553.3%88 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed OG20c6,339$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.5271143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked BetBoom Team65c6,165$3,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.091,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed BetBoom Team62c6,135$3,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,301.7818551.4%95 W · 90 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked OG21c5,777$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.3522031.8%70 W · 150 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e8…efdcbacked BetBoom Team71c5,688$4,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.0819456.2%109 W · 85 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed OG24c5,523$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.210537.1%39 W · 66 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fff…265cbacked OG19c5,382$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.233234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed BetBoom Team72c5,319$3,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.3812350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked BetBoom Team62c5,206$3,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.0850850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ed…085abacked OG18c5,120$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.64544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1305…46d2backed BetBoom Team79c4,800$3,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0082955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed OG34c4,708$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.159636.5%35 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2931…7b81backed OG47c4,671$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,195.5118560.5%112 W · 73 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x818b…c5ebbacked OG43c4,155$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8009658.3%56 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed OG23c4,045$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.3528044.3%124 W · 156 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed OG37c4,023$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50024154.8%132 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked OG15c3,796$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.4139343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed BetBoom Team66c3,788$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.885048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked BetBoom Team73c3,645$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.0213960.4%84 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked OG29c3,527$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.8341042.4%174 W · 236 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed BetBoom Team68c3,290$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.2822853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…0308backed OG25c3,134$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.823641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed OG11c3,000$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked BetBoom Team74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78024246.7%113 W · 129 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OG11c3,000$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad42…6031backed OG21c2,918$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.058648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed OG16c2,801$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.292,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked OG17c2,750$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.191,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e23…1c3dbacked BetBoom Team76c2,643$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.1311254.5%61 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3452…1ba0backed OG9c2,537$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.7218351.9%95 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed OG26c2,483$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.5235637.1%132 W · 224 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed OG26c2,468$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.3234442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c6…b937backed OG34c2,460$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.392560%15 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+66.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked OG25c2,400$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.4516746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed OG18c2,310$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.5667932.5%221 W · 458 L-27.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed OG27c2,300$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9545352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked OG21c2,272$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48533645.5%153 W · 183 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed OG21c2,063$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42980443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked OG30c2,017$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.2253558.9%315 W · 220 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e01…b0b5backed BetBoom Team57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86020642.7%88 W · 118 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed OG19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38081029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed OG29c1,997$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.3547748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bcc…b4fabacked BetBoom Team71c1,868$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.5916959.2%100 W · 69 L+14.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked OG33c1,749$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.5831936.7%117 W · 202 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed OG21c1,718$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.3465625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed OG17c1,700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.643538.6%168 W · 267 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed OG26c1,689$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.0256955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed BetBoom Team72c1,609$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.4731444.9%141 W · 173 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked OG26c1,600$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.931,15147.8%550 W · 601 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed OG27c1,502$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013943.9%61 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbeef…92b7backed OG35c1,500$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51815054.7%82 W · 68 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed OG32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9918830.9%58 W · 130 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed OG29c1,452$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42072035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bb7…7028backed OG33c1,440$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.536839.7%27 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf897…8453backed OG30c1,438$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.498146.9%38 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked BetBoom Team75c1,378$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.5616641%68 W · 98 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf52…efdfbacked OG25c1,320$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.4421558.6%126 W · 89 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed OG18c1,301$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb9…1d15backed OG28c1,296$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3609535.8%34 W · 61 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ff1…2dd7backed OG22c1,280$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.143348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked OG10c1,253$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5150749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a013backed OG41c1,213$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked OG18c1,200$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21019338.9%75 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked OG25c1,173$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.0223561.7%145 W · 90 L+19.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed OG32c1,162$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.838934.8%31 W · 58 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed OG33c1,150$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.57350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed OG16c1,124$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.145457.5%261 W · 193 L+39.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed BetBoom Team80c1,100$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2206844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked OG12c1,082$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.241,69141.4%700 W · 991 L-40.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked BetBoom Team74c1,078$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.330854.9%169 W · 139 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x823d…f85bbacked OG29c1,037$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed BetBoom Team68c1,033$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2746664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed OG28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2807440.5%30 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed OG33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33065441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a8…6107backed OG10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007439.2%29 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed BetBoom Team57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.9956949%279 W · 290 L+34.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed BetBoom Team69c972.2$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.229352.9%155 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed OG30c969.27$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.471,24744.4%554 W · 693 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x461d…db9ebacked OG11c968$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed BetBoom Team79c944.77$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.9945750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked BetBoom Team78c850$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18755251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed OG24c811$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8620233.2%67 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed OG26c811$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.8688539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked OG31c793.55$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24648843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked OG21c783.37$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.784434.1%15 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked BetBoom Team67c736$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.0916550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked OG22c710.39$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7587838.3%336 W · 542 L-42.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked BetBoom Team71c659.65$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.353444.4%237 W · 297 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.