TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Elizara Yaneva

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lucie Havlickovaof Lucie Havlickova, Elizara Yaneva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,245
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,245 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf6c…7e66backed Lucie Havlickova70c17,000$11,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0901,20649%591 W · 615 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Elizara Yaneva35c16,943$5,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,987.879,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Elizara Yaneva28c7,813$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.0111,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf0…b554backed Lucie Havlickova76c3,500$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8404047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Elizara Yaneva27c2,603$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.468,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed Lucie Havlickova62c2,437$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.747169%49 W · 22 L+9.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Lucie Havlickova61c1,558$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.94,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd212…1248backed Lucie Havlickova68c1,092$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.441952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lucie Havlickova74c637.92$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.798,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Elizara Yaneva34c558.84$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.315,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Lucie Havlickova72c554.62$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.422,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Elizara Yaneva42c464.31$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.481,00857.7%582 W · 426 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3635…053abacked Lucie Havlickova76c417.97$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.311675%12 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Elizara Yaneva61c400.35$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.1422341.3%92 W · 131 L-20.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Lucie Havlickova68c399.74$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.783,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Elizara Yaneva15c356.53$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.485,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Lucie Havlickova70c347.22$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.171,74548.1%840 W · 905 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Elizara Yaneva35c338.13$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.951,47643.8%647 W · 829 L-26.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lucie Havlickova36c317.88$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.552,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c2b…9b9ebacked Lucie Havlickova61c300$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165066%33 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdeb6…32b5backed Elizara Yaneva47c287$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8932856.7%186 W · 142 L+21.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97de…27d1backed Elizara Yaneva49c280.66$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.526556.9%37 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lucie Havlickova77c276.86$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.431,76645.9%810 W · 956 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Elizara Yaneva45c269$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0552457.3%300 W · 224 L+29.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Lucie Havlickova69c200$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.364365.9%424 W · 219 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ae…d117backed Lucie Havlickova37c199.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.995534.5%19 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Elizara Yaneva64c199.97$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9853847%253 W · 285 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c68…219fbacked Lucie Havlickova61c196.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.72714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-76.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Lucie Havlickova48c179.2$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.921,31439%512 W · 802 L-23.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Elizara Yaneva63c176$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8827855.8%155 W · 123 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2471…4523backed Elizara Yaneva21c148.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4813527.4%37 W · 98 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Lucie Havlickova50c145.58$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4545553%241 W · 214 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Lucie Havlickova63c138.05$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4499148.6%482 W · 509 L+43.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Elizara Yaneva66c136.44$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9040254.5%219 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Lucie Havlickova72c134.95$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.434,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Lucie Havlickova37c129.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.351,04750%524 W · 523 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Elizara Yaneva63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c9…f4dabacked Lucie Havlickova64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367149.3%35 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Lucie Havlickova76c98.53$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6514850.7%75 W · 73 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Elizara Yaneva46c98.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6537853.7%203 W · 175 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Lucie Havlickova54c92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.321,87759.4%1,115 W · 762 L+8.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Elizara Yaneva44c91.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2745549.7%226 W · 229 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Lucie Havlickova73c88$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.764,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa261…af5bbacked Elizara Yaneva24c87.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9514254.9%78 W · 64 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Lucie Havlickova79c82.48$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5374654.8%409 W · 337 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0fd…3798backed Elizara Yaneva31c77.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9213618.4%25 W · 111 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Lucie Havlickova74c76.95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0150858.1%295 W · 213 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6851…ec54backed Lucie Havlickova80c76.95$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3911348.7%55 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Elizara Yaneva29c74.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.941,87853.2%1,000 W · 878 L+30.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa34e…29f8backed Elizara Yaneva22c66.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.445322.6%12 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-50.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Lucie Havlickova59c66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3837853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Lucie Havlickova57c64.83$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.71,07654.8%590 W · 486 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Elizara Yaneva33c64.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1242159.1%249 W · 172 L+25.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Lucie Havlickova36c58.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.741,88344.8%843 W · 1,040 L+36.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Elizara Yaneva47c58.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.466,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb978…fac0backed Lucie Havlickova69c57.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.087041.4%29 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Elizara Yaneva65c53.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9972047.9%345 W · 375 L-2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…b2cebacked Lucie Havlickova60c50.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.018159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2484…5c15backed Elizara Yaneva62c49.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.991947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick66cpaid-28.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb18d…d798backed Lucie Havlickova73c44.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Lucie Havlickova68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.853539.3%210 W · 325 L+37.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Lucie Havlickova76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4727855%153 W · 125 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elizara Yaneva58c38.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.727,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Lucie Havlickova38c35.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1823451.7%121 W · 113 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Elizara Yaneva34c35.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.112,06946.7%966 W · 1,103 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Elizara Yaneva48c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.846658.6%273 W · 193 L+24.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Lucie Havlickova38c33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4644455.2%245 W · 199 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked Lucie Havlickova38c32.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.049351.6%48 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Lucie Havlickova35c32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.832755%180 W · 147 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Lucie Havlickova77c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.364,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Lucie Havlickova58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.624461.1%149 W · 95 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f6f…1284backed Lucie Havlickova39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+36%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ce2…a9d0backed Lucie Havlickova39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.42777.8%21 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6aca…e738backed Lucie Havlickova53c29.31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.713760.6%83 W · 54 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Elizara Yaneva66c27.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1837558.1%218 W · 157 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Lucie Havlickova38c27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.742,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c2…2d18backed Elizara Yaneva49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.255750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Elizara Yaneva63c24.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2259347.4%281 W · 312 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae85…c96abacked Lucie Havlickova65c23.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2329352.2%153 W · 140 L-21.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Elizara Yaneva58c21.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.652,08754.1%1,130 W · 957 L+64.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe366…6de2backed Lucie Havlickova68c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.446550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Elizara Yaneva67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.052466.7%16 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.