TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Syntaxof PuckChamp, Team Syntax
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,962 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc1de…21f5backed PuckChamp60c6,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60030452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Syntax39c5,804$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,536.5289741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Team Syntax41c3,500$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,064.9925446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Team Syntax32c2,464$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.419644.8%43 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba03…0486backed Team Syntax34c1,998$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.927234.7%25 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Team Syntax35c1,777$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.5810961.5%67 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked PuckChamp62c1,430$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.979859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Syntax38c1,386$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.072,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Syntax31c1,291$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.142,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed PuckChamp66c1,277$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.6815050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed PuckChamp67c1,207$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.8154246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked PuckChamp65c1,195$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.0917965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ee…ffe2backed PuckChamp68c1,149$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.463951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked PuckChamp61c1,116$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.1350850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Syntax41c1,109$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.441,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed PuckChamp63c1,107$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.2948054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51be…12c2backed PuckChamp57c1,036$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.9319251%98 W · 94 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed PuckChamp67c990.46$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66212740.2%51 W · 76 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed PuckChamp60c840$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Team Syntax36c834.35$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.7353844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa20d…6ba4backed Team Syntax35c750$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.714751%75 W · 72 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Team Syntax47c737.28$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.4854058.9%318 W · 222 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1991…348ebacked PuckChamp64c715.47$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.4513647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8840…f51abacked Team Syntax2c696.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.45205%1 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed PuckChamp65c654.35$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.5629466%194 W · 100 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4339…beeebacked PuckChamp67c616.74$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.918055%44 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked PuckChamp65c599.98$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9913142.7%56 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed Team Syntax55c592.87$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6710651.9%55 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed PuckChamp63c576.65$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.199444.7%42 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed PuckChamp64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32050769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed PuckChamp54c499.98$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9928044.3%124 W · 156 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63b1…1676backed PuckChamp66c494.74$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.5314646.6%68 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Team Syntax45c490.77$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.7712253.3%65 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe222…6019backed Team Syntax62c462.82$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.842250%11 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked PuckChamp65c458.21$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Syntax33c439.09$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.781,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed PuckChamp67c402.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27072154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Team Syntax20c400$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31821146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed PuckChamp76c380.21$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8323459%138 W · 96 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed PuckChamp59c359.99$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.191,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Team Syntax34c352.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.978042.5%34 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked PuckChamp65c351.07$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.771,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team Syntax42c350.01$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.8231052.6%163 W · 147 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe434…f520backed PuckChamp65c337.54$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.45352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83e4…bd22backed Team Syntax36c329.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.593167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Team Syntax53c300$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14228050%140 W · 140 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed PuckChamp53c299.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15932445.1%146 W · 178 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked Team Syntax40c288.13$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1311249.1%55 W · 57 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf201…f884backed PuckChamp72c279.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008960.7%54 W · 35 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed PuckChamp73c276.72$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0893546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed Team Syntax36c263.19$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.917249.4%85 W · 87 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Syntax21c259.8$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.061,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked Team Syntax35c250$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.532756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc56a…0c8dbacked Team Syntax20c223.08$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.081650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked PuckChamp68c218$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.394634.8%16 W · 30 L-8.2wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Syntax29c217.23$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8766545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb84…21a7backed Team Syntax35c213.32$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.592458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72c8…a74cbacked PuckChamp66c211.24$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4224942.6%106 W · 143 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed PuckChamp66c210$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.610743.9%47 W · 60 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbba9…7800backed PuckChamp68c202.13$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Syntax35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13061449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Syntax13c200$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9542146.6%196 W · 225 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed PuckChamp66c197.07$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8781345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa091…f1c1backed Team Syntax40c190$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.52653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Syntax34c188.21$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.021,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed PuckChamp54c175.51$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2412557.6%72 W · 53 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Team Syntax43c166.56$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.248843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c5f…31d1backed Team Syntax27c165.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.711936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2911…922ebacked PuckChamp63c162.5$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.353756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37a8…8b4dbacked PuckChamp55c161.81$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8915957.9%92 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Team Syntax33c159.82$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3341655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed PuckChamp65c155.49$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10147548%228 W · 247 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe474…0200backed PuckChamp65c153.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-47.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Syntax35c149.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.761,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed PuckChamp32c143.03$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1119440.7%79 W · 115 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Team Syntax24c142.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1142053.6%225 W · 195 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Syntax33c142.29$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.031,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ae…84d8backed Team Syntax24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958045%36 W · 44 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Team Syntax57c121.22$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1326154.8%143 W · 118 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Team Syntax46c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3228544.9%128 W · 157 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8df9…c22bbacked Team Syntax38c117.89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.61717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed Team Syntax27c117$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.811421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Team Syntax32c111.43$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7717040.6%69 W · 101 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed PuckChamp66c111.32$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5148057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d20…5c21backed Team Syntax46c110.82$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked PuckChamp69c110$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5512860.9%78 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked PuckChamp59c104.63$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.735940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb491…4400backed Team Syntax18c100.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.252321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f6f…1284backed PuckChamp55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557964.6%51 W · 28 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked PuckChamp53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5359254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Team Syntax41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5924138.6%93 W · 148 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e6a…5957backed PuckChamp50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505046%23 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Team Syntax35c99.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4426247.7%125 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe694…0a08backed PuckChamp66c99.39$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9318152.5%95 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked PuckChamp71c98.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f7…6573backed Team Syntax34c96.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.012254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x297a…198bbacked Team Syntax37c95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.851154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Syntax31c94.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9158943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41c4…ceb9backed Team Syntax29c92.64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.761952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc15f…223dbacked PuckChamp67c86.46$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.911747.9%56 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.