TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Syntax (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Syntaxof PuckChamp, Team Syntax
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$255,241

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,057 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Syntax38c24,890$9,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,488.7547646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked PuckChamp62c24,280$15,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,015.550347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Syntax36c14,770$5,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,479.7256955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked PuckChamp56c8,423$4,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,707.6323736.7%87 W · 150 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Syntax40c8,038$3,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,783.1489741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Team Syntax39c7,844$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,767.075836.2%21 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed PuckChamp25c7,797$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.7651049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed PuckChamp62c5,946$3,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,714.189954.5%54 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed PuckChamp68c5,723$3,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,886.2638142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x472b…5d5fbacked PuckChamp28c5,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed PuckChamp46c4,696$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.5454246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Team Syntax40c4,682$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808.061844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Team Syntax42c4,663$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,687.5210961.5%67 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Syntax60c4,035$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.8979859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Team Syntax40c4,000$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.4930452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked PuckChamp39c3,905$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.11,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed PuckChamp63c3,320$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,105.2910651.9%55 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed PuckChamp40c3,224$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.647350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca96…7125backed Team Syntax78c2,937$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Syntax67c2,874$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.5250353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Team Syntax28c2,769$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.6669835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Team Syntax23c2,687$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.759444.7%42 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ee…ffe2backed Team Syntax48c2,567$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.213951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked PuckChamp61c2,536$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.1450850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked PuckChamp60c2,263$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.5754058.9%318 W · 222 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Team Syntax16c2,197$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.2641455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed PuckChamp74c2,109$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.626159%36 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked PuckChamp46c2,024$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.3989238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51be…12c2backed Team Syntax41c1,991$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.419251%98 W · 94 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Team Syntax38c1,948$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.078536.5%31 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a74…ae2bbacked PuckChamp1c1,926$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.261323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed PuckChamp79c1,764$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.5393546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed PuckChamp61c1,725$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.9612740.2%51 W · 76 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Team Syntax58c1,691$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.7512253.3%65 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Syntax12c1,510$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.870052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked PuckChamp61c1,492$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.9695342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Team Syntax27c1,492$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.2420827.9%58 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed PuckChamp47c1,398$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.5348057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Team Syntax29c1,385$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.24856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Team Syntax44c1,364$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.634445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed PuckChamp61c1,312$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.65742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PuckChamp59c1,258$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.342,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Team Syntax42c1,200$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.4857449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Syntax37c1,175$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.2536248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Syntax62c1,140$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.3377256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Team Syntax45c1,123$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.719340.9%38 W · 55 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed PuckChamp70c1,064$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7452740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Syntax55c1,051$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.871,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed PuckChamp3c1,050$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf6f…9f0abacked PuckChamp35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35016139.8%64 W · 97 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b46…7437backed PuckChamp55c1,000$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Syntax55c999.97$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.991,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf52…efdfbacked PuckChamp59c999.48$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.6921558.6%126 W · 89 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed PuckChamp4c993.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.446132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Team Syntax51c920.78$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.13528.6%10 W · 25 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed PuckChamp68c879.78$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017040.6%69 W · 101 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Team Syntax41c854.53$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.1927636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Team Syntax36c851$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.5835151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed PuckChamp31c840.56$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.3837832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed PuckChamp63c810.25$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.4615050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed PuckChamp56c801.55$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.219644.8%43 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Team Syntax39c800$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48826247.7%125 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba03…0486backed Team Syntax35c799.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.997234.7%25 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed Team Syntax51c789.41$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.4615848.1%76 W · 82 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked PuckChamp29c787.16$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.7666545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Team Syntax30c786.3$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.4112250%61 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked PuckChamp67c778.64$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.0235461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed PuckChamp61c750$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.57044.3%31 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf85a…960ebacked PuckChamp47c748.94$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5a…c59ebacked Team Syntax38c748.01$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.216339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked PuckChamp64c714.53$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.59340.9%38 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Syntax55c714.18$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.881,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked PuckChamp63c687.3$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43310040%40 W · 60 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed PuckChamp61c668.16$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.4958943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35f1…e67bbacked Team Syntax50c660.13$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.733167.7%21 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked PuckChamp12c657.28$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1415050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked PuckChamp54c613.87$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.5853844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e6…bb76backed PuckChamp74c610$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed PuckChamp68c600.23$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.5633445.2%151 W · 183 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Syntax43c599.98$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.9937745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked PuckChamp54c595.9$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.344049.3%217 W · 223 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Team Syntax21c577.29$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.6543860.5%265 W · 173 L+44.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed PuckChamp58c576.29$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.2550053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked PuckChamp59c574.87$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.8856945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbae0…de73backed Team Syntax37c570.13$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.661861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked PuckChamp58c561.79$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.8417965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa20d…6ba4backed PuckChamp52c549.97$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.9914751%75 W · 72 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked PuckChamp53c539.98$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.5196645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Syntax30c536$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.241242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0146…4d51backed PuckChamp64c533.18$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.262166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee45…200abacked PuckChamp66c530.3$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35018046.1%83 W · 97 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked PuckChamp53c511.71$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.21,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed PuckChamp61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30550769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked PuckChamp26c500$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7731052.6%163 W · 147 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Syntax39c500$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5161449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed PuckChamp30c499.96$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9932445.1%146 W · 178 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Team Syntax37c484$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.2141050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked PuckChamp62c482.27$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.268345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Team Syntax51c473$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.748550.6%43 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefd3…bed8backed PuckChamp67c465.33$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.62580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.