TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PuckChampof PuckChamp, Team Syntax
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,422
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,422 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3b0…329ebacked PuckChamp72c4,231$3,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.9680056%448 W · 352 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Syntax20c3,576$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.4671143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Syntax27c2,895$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.5556955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Syntax20c2,691$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.2188938%338 W · 551 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed PuckChamp76c1,994$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.1510651.9%55 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Syntax20c1,472$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9487838.3%336 W · 542 L-42.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Syntax18c1,336$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.142,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked PuckChamp73c1,275$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.1961256%343 W · 269 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed PuckChamp71c1,270$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.947457.4%272 W · 202 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Syntax19c1,029$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.681,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Syntax24c1,029$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.821,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed Team Syntax24c1,025$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.082948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed PuckChamp61c813.94$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.1715050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba9…7800backed PuckChamp68c763.62$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Syntax16c724.45$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.571,69141.4%700 W · 991 L-40.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Team Syntax24c707.05$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.94445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9417…8440backed PuckChamp78c700$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.279455.3%52 W · 42 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Team Syntax39c634.97$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.642330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed PuckChamp73c625$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7517757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Team Syntax26c604.04$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.64856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Team Syntax14c599.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8121146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Team Syntax32c568.52$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3416841.1%69 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed PuckChamp73c560.27$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2772154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4339…beeebacked PuckChamp73c485.4$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.068055%44 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Team Syntax19c477.82$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4154246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Team Syntax9c463.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.740644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Team Syntax20c456.1$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2210961.5%67 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Team Syntax28c376.78$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.535151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Syntax24c358.93$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.851,15147.8%550 W · 601 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Team Syntax3c338.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4710351.5%53 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Team Syntax21c320$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.852638.4%202 W · 324 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Team Syntax5c320$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169543.2%41 W · 54 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Syntax27c307$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8941042.4%174 W · 236 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Syntax22c304.11$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1167932.5%221 W · 458 L-27.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Syntax33c300$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9861249.7%304 W · 308 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked PuckChamp72c286.89$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.335949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Team Syntax28c281.89$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9323149.4%114 W · 117 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Team Syntax28c279$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1241050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Syntax26c261.92$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.31,44348.7%703 W · 740 L+29.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Syntax21c250$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9169552.2%363 W · 332 L+45.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Syntax27c239$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5336248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Team Syntax28c226$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2827636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Syntax17c208$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.41,11336.2%403 W · 710 L-37.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked Team Syntax10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked PuckChamp73c149.33$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3222558.2%131 W · 94 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Syntax28c144.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4139550.1%198 W · 197 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Team Syntax14c139.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.353533.8%181 W · 354 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Team Syntax22c130$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.419241.1%79 W · 113 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Team Syntax37c101.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8729432.3%95 W · 199 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd85…1a8dbacked PuckChamp75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259661.5%59 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Team Syntax39c99.65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.862060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Team Syntax12c97.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.862740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4994…3e36backed Team Syntax33c85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.059964.6%64 W · 35 L+19.9wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+67.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Team Syntax28c84.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.684452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Syntax16c79.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.11,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Team Syntax23c77.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.468961.8%55 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c5f…31d1backed Team Syntax30c76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.671936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb797…1cf3backed PuckChamp62c71.5$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.321681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Team Syntax35c71.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9214542.1%61 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe717…0710backed PuckChamp73c70.97$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1620958.9%123 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Team Syntax28c61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0814043.6%61 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed PuckChamp74c59.88$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7425259.1%149 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked PuckChamp73c59.26$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9530054.7%164 W · 136 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2756…e8c7backed PuckChamp73c58.45$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7820661.7%127 W · 79 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed PuckChamp76c57.66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6627259.2%161 W · 111 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Team Syntax28c52.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8315551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked PuckChamp69c50.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.72757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Team Syntax31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.596942.8%415 W · 554 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Team Syntax29c47.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.918552.4%97 W · 88 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb695…f967backed PuckChamp73c42.12$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3714243%61 W · 81 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6016…1ab5backed PuckChamp78c40.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.012650%13 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bf…f4b4backed PuckChamp65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x669d…88e5backed Team Syntax34c35.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x048f…cf1abacked PuckChamp73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.130358.7%178 W · 125 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5b…3b06backed PuckChamp73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.296759.7%40 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Team Syntax41c25.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5821540.9%88 W · 127 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed PuckChamp73c23.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2438159.1%225 W · 156 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x772b…5facbacked PuckChamp78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.426848.9%131 W · 137 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed PuckChamp69c18.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7780244.9%360 W · 442 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3477…5c42backed PuckChamp78c17.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.95633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.