Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs Team Syntax (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26eb1945d817f989b0585309e14212179cbf5c8772308080b573b0df66f38f1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Syntaxof PuckChamp, Team Syntax
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Syntax | 53c | 549$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.79 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8479backed PuckChamp | 48c | 416.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked PuckChamp | 50c | 309.31$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Team Syntax | 49c | 158.33$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Syntax | 62c | 154.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed PuckChamp | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Syntax | 51c | 87.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Syntax | 43c | 56.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed PuckChamp | 37c | 54.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed PuckChamp | 44c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed PuckChamp | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked PuckChamp | 56c | 33.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed PuckChamp | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Syntax | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs Team Syntax (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Syntax (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ATeam Syntax won
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Syntax - Game 1 WinnerPuckChamp won
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Syntax - Game 2 WinnerTeam Syntax won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?Yes won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.