TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof Vitality, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,270

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,532 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked B869c14,644$10,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,129.9876058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Vitality34c10,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6006259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Vitality31c10,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,899.9816245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed B866c8,207$5,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,416.435156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Vitality30c2,930$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.3378639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Vitality31c2,332$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.477450%37 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked B870c2,056$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.6827552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Vitality30c1,900$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,33060248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed B866c1,763$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.5817643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Vitality31c1,416$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.0360848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Vitality33c1,227$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.971,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Vitality32c1,094$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.7535236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Vitality31c1,021$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.5826743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Vitality15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8507,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed B868c999.98$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9938954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality30c999$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.31,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c2…4933backed Vitality35c944.43$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.184261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked B867c900$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6039248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked B869c888$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.7212950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Vitality32c781.25$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.2516248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Vitality29c769.26$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.1871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c27…cb5bbacked B868c759.99$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.794374.4%32 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked B871c700$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49727658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked B870c668.57$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46839157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Vitality32c600$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4085,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c4c…f869backed B869c579.71$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012053.3%64 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked B865c542.71$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.7636152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7a…afb0backed Vitality31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34512134.7%42 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed B870c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Vitality69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12440558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Vitality26c389.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.8950947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed B869c362.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25021263.7%135 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21fe…7b71backed B869c362.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed B869c362.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb9…a591backed B869c344.38$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.62520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Vitality31c316.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.0353034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed B864c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020952.6%110 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed B870c286$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9727744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Vitality15c250$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.51,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae90…9a56backed B869c249.98$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.498740.2%35 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Vitality32c234.78$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6548845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed B866c227.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed B869c220$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.82360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed Vitality32c203.13$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1314929.5%44 W · 105 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Vitality34c202.8$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8138848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed B879c200$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15785851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Vitality11c189.08$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3698052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Vitality32c182.9$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0823245.3%105 W · 127 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed B869c156.52$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10829757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda0d…fb82backed Vitality32c156.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4113350.4%67 W · 66 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Vitality33c155$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8510753.3%57 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Vitality33c155$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10427554.9%151 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x376f…5a0ebacked B870c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked B871c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Vitality15c133.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.331,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed Vitality31c129.94$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6618943.9%83 W · 106 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x710b…93b0backed B877c128.34$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.823641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked B868c116$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8815850%79 W · 79 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed B870c107$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.775850%29 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed B866c103.17$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6829558.6%173 W · 122 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed B864c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6447165.2%307 W · 164 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vitality12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Vitality68c89.02$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7211259.8%67 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…7fa7backed B867c75.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed B869c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032357.6%186 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed B870c60$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4230259.3%179 W · 123 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc4e…c150backed Vitality70c57.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2716856%94 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Vitality31c56.41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9244552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2260…ed12backed B832c44.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.127748.1%37 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d6e…2175backed B869c43.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.864963.3%31 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e10…28d3backed B870c42.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe56a…2ba5backed Vitality69c39.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.131471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Vitality32c38.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6599148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed B869c35.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8122750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked B871c31.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4725650.4%129 W · 127 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Vitality32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2517648.3%85 W · 91 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed Vitality32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2538754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed3…fc81backed B871c30.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.71233.3%4 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-52.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked B869c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.781246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea6a…f194backed B869c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018643.5%81 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaff6…07f9backed B869c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204450%22 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3bc…f78abacked B869c27.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked B870c25.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1285054.4%462 W · 388 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5cc…974ebacked B864c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed B871c20.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8916766.5%111 W · 56 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x621a…3e19backed B869c16.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.56659.1%39 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9337…72c0backed B867c15.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.