CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46dbb72182c36b83c2e037f9eadd6b5b8e627afe353cda970609c66c9fc9bbdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof B8, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vitality | 10c | 19,035$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,075.43 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Vitality | 9c | 12,190$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,034.99 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Vitality | 1c | 9,901$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,801.99 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vitality | 4c | 8,137$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,832.81 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Vitality | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Vitality | 5c | 4,355$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,147.42 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Vitality | 13c | 3,055$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.91 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Vitality | 13c | 2,685$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.68 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Vitality | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…30f0backed Vitality | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Vitality | 18c | 1,813$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.79 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Vitality | 12c | 1,797$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.65 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Vitality | 2c | 1,642$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.7 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Vitality | 7c | 1,170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.14 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Vitality | 13c | 1,017$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.88 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…d240backed Vitality | 5c | 832.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.67 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +232.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Vitality | 12c | 749.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.98 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Vitality | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Vitality | 7c | 400$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.58 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked Vitality | 5c | 239.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.43 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Vitality | 13c | 233.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.14 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Vitality | 19c | 209.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.31 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vitality | 8c | 197.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.67 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked Vitality | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Vitality | 9c | 150$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Vitality | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group AVitality won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.