CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc39bd729bc05c41c80c3f5d267b208c66028e0dcf357f1f64e444a9c8f05f519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof B8, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Vitality | 7c | 31,399$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,110.89 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked Vitality | 12c | 20,833$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,233.33 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Vitality | 3c | 20,744$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,062.8 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Vitality | 6c | 14,030$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,156.66 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Vitality | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,899.99 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Vitality | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,899.98 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Vitality | 8c | 8,044$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400.35 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Vitality | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Vitality | 4c | 5,000$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,777.48 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked Vitality | 14c | 4,369$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.16 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…2120backed Vitality | 1c | 3,175$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +3,454.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Vitality | 3c | 3,033$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.14 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Vitality | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Vitality | 12c | 2,917$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.67 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Vitality | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.98 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Vitality | 11c | 2,300$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Vitality | 1c | 2,045$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.71 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Vitality | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.97 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Vitality | 12c | 1,978$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.32 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Vitality | 11c | 1,600$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35cb…4745backed Vitality | 3c | 1,553$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.89 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Vitality | 2c | 1,300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +310.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Vitality | 7c | 1,250$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.49 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Vitality | 11c | 1,200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Vitality | 9c | 1,149$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.23 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Vitality | 2c | 900$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.81 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Vitality | 12c | 833.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.29 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Vitality | 7c | 824.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.92 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked Vitality | 12c | 767.55$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.45 | 277 | 49.5%137 W · 140 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Vitality | 3c | 671.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.4 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…1721backed Vitality | 11c | 609.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.09 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…2632backed Vitality | 2c | 565$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.01 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +278.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…c29ebacked Vitality | 5c | 553.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.02 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…6939backed Vitality | 3c | 533.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +825.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Vitality | 11c | 505.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.18 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Vitality | 11c | 500$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Vitality | 2c | 499.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.49 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa9…4baabacked Vitality | 5c | 435.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.73 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +53%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Vitality | 2c | 420$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.92 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd8…7b1dbacked Vitality | 3c | 416.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.67 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Vitality | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…a4e5backed Vitality | 6c | 413.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +367.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…d25fbacked Vitality | 4c | 368.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,531.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked Vitality | 12c | 273.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.57 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Vitality | 11c | 266.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.88 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…809cbacked Vitality | 8c | 255$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…9f14backed Vitality | 11c | 251.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.63 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked B8 | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Vitality | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.27 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Vitality | 8c | 216.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.38 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Vitality | 12c | 206$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.28 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked Vitality | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Vitality | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Vitality | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde34…8b33backed Vitality | 12c | 196.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.85 | 117 | 39.3%46 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5521…442abacked B8 | 12c | 189.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Vitality | 10c | 185$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…1972backed Vitality | 8c | 180$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…8a96backed Vitality | 11c | 177.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.61 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dad…1838backed B8 | 12c | 136.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…1bd8backed Vitality | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29a…bb36backed Vitality | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ff…5eeabacked Vitality | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b4…3a38backed Vitality | 12c | 125$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked B8 | 9c | 123.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Vitality | 12c | 100.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Vitality | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 238 | 58.4%139 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.