CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31df95dde2927c857b926ec5e5a08bbd77ab53871a1089cbae7f32bb44883f0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof B8, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Vitality | 3c | 16,300$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,812.6 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Vitality | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked B8 | 11c | 4,411$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.21 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Vitality | 13c | 2,554$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.79 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Vitality | 6c | 2,510$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.32 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed B8 | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…d240backed Vitality | 2c | 2,400$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +232.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Vitality | 3c | 2,100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037 | 200 | 41.5%83 W · 117 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vitality | 1c | 2,058$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.69 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vitality | 4c | 1,941$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.19 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Vitality | 21c | 1,800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.52 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa503…c5b9backed B8 | 19c | 1,622$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Vitality | 21c | 1,050$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Vitality | 21c | 1,035$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Vitality | 13c | 1,000$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.81 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed B8 | 79c | 912.77$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.72 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vitality | 3c | 911.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.23 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed B8 | 79c | 896.68$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.38 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…5faabacked Vitality | 13c | 839.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.92 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked B8 | 80c | 769.31$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.75 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vitality | 5c | 704.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.67 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0311…f80ebacked Vitality | 2c | 693.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.32 | 181 | 26.5%48 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Vitality | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…6fe9backed B8 | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Vitality | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.99 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed Vitality | 17c | 380$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.4 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Vitality | 17c | 336$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.88 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Vitality | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vitality | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked B8 | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Vitality | 6c | 250$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Vitality | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Vitality | 18c | 216.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.67 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Vitality | 19c | 208.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.25 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Vitality | 21c | 208.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.45 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…039dbacked Vitality | 9c | 199.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Vitality | 17c | 160.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Vitality | 16c | 150$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked Vitality | 21c | 140$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked B8 | 80c | 130$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Vitality | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked Vitality | 11c | 120$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Vitality | 19c | 104.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.04 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…59bfbacked Vitality | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Vitality | 20c | 99.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Vitality | 12c | 85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed B8 | 79c | 76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…f591backed B8 | 79c | 68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed B8 | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 587 | 55.9%328 W · 259 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group AVitality won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.