Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31f9a37bdba286bf0076decfd849693b470c111679393c1c57c49b82dabff272
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $365,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 27,416$18,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,123.89 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked OG | 37c | 25,107$9,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,274.81 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 23,979$15,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,223.55 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 16,430$10,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750.35 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed OG | 35c | 15,555$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.25 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked OG | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 13,290$8,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,385.71 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked LGD Gaming | 69c | 12,929$8,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.79 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 12,249$7,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.97 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed OG | 36c | 12,071$4,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,342.74 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 7,031$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.29 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked LGD Gaming | 68c | 5,978$4,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.84 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 5,948$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.32 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed OG | 35c | 5,694$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.06 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 5,566$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.87 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked OG | 34c | 5,550$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 5,480$3,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.66 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked OG | 29c | 5,113$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.77 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed OG | 26c | 5,043$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked OG | 34c | 4,900$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LGD Gaming | 65c | 4,897$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.05 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked OG | 40c | 4,717$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.33 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed OG | 36c | 4,605$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked OG | 7c | 4,603$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.19 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…5f53backed OG | 37c | 4,582$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.11 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked OG | 36c | 4,184$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 4,084$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.49 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked LGD Gaming | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked OG | 32c | 4,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…b615backed OG | 18c | 3,786$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked LGD Gaming | 70c | 3,741$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.41 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 32c | 3,611$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.39 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 3,500$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked OG | 35c | 3,275$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.34 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed OG | 36c | 3,046$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed OG | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked LGD Gaming | 65c | 2,959$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.87 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked OG | 34c | 2,905$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked OG | 35c | 2,833$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 2,691$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.12 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked OG | 34c | 2,657$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.88 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed OG | 44c | 2,621$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.16 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed OG | 34c | 2,608$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked OG | 34c | 2,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.99 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked OG | 37c | 2,470$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.34 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked OG | 33c | 2,460$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.38 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked LGD Gaming | 69c | 2,190$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.54 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 2,044$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.68 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed OG | 35c | 2,021$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.61 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 34c | 2,000$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.03 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed OG | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed OG | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 2,000$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.18 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 1,845$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.23 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 1,803$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked OG | 32c | 1,753$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.69 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked LGD Gaming | 70c | 1,752$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.6 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed OG | 38c | 1,742$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.35 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 1,726$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.77 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed OG | 23c | 1,667$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed OG | 35c | 1,664$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.4 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed OG | 44c | 1,586$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 1,555$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.27 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 1,543$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.35 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed OG | 36c | 1,540$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.39 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed OG | 36c | 1,516$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.97 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed OG | 34c | 1,506$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked OG | 23c | 1,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed OG | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed OG | 30c | 1,447$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.14 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked OG | 31c | 1,435$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.77 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed OG | 34c | 1,420$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.8 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 1,381$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.58 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked OG | 34c | 1,318$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.11 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LGD Gaming | 61c | 1,306$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.89 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 1,305$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.86 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked OG | 36c | 1,289$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.92 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked LGD Gaming | 75c | 1,274$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.59 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed OG | 36c | 1,241$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.94 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed OG | 42c | 1,227$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed OG | 37c | 1,178$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.86 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed OG | 34c | 1,163$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.25 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked OG | 28c | 1,158$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.4 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked OG | 36c | 1,100$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 1,099$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.3 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 1,081$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.21 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed OG | 34c | 1,073$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.82 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 1,050$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked OG | 30c | 1,037$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked OG | 30c | 1,002$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed OG | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed OG | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed OG | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed OG | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked OG | 27c | 990$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.36 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 977.86$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.79 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed OG | 34c | 961.09$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.77 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 960$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bf…7033backed LGD Gaming | 56c | 912.12$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group DLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.