CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3056d06fb1377bfee964dd4018beb0230d84cdbf97db63d35dfef911baf8360
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 50c | 10,116$5,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.53 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…3272backed Under | 50c | 3,807$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 54c | 3,684$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.03 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 2,998$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.89 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Under | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 50c | 1,417$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.48 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 50c | 1,339$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.33 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 53c | 946.36$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.13 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ef…b4f0backed Over | 46c | 893.91$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Over | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Under | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Over | 46c | 350.34$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.18 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Over | 51c | 268.33$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 49c | 268.33$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Under | 53c | 262.27$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 188.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe3…883dbacked Over | 49c | 167.61$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…7301backed Over | 49c | 121.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 112.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Under | 52c | 95.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 63c | 91.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Over | 48c | 87.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 69c | 85.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 45c | 81.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…bd0ebacked Over | 48c | 80.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 53c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 31c | 73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Under | 52c | 69.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bf…991cbacked Over | 47c | 61.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…6464backed Under | 43c | 51.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…2be4backed Over | 47c | 50.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…6758backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 41c | 44.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Under | 55c | 43.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 51c | 42.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…eb54backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed Under | 52c | 37.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 67c | 36.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 48c | 36.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Over | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…93b0backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 29.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284a…8759backed Over | 50c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Under | 54c | 27.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group ABetBoom Team won
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
- Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.