South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3733a310f1eb42030d00b408522568f668a865cb8fd6be5e162ee0ace761d687
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 28c | 3,110$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.19 | 526 | 49.8%262 W · 264 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 2,067$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.71 | 2,015 | 51.4%1,036 W · 979 L | +44.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6a09backed Yes | 38c | 1,702$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 28c | 1,120$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.6 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 28c | 932.28$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.04 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 47c | 719.3$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.23 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 56c | 696.43$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9e…44dcbacked Yes | 30c | 667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.4 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 59c | 475.95$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.14 | 1,393 | 52.6%733 W · 660 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…cc27backed Yes | 10c | 454.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 72c | 416.18$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 1,489 | 37.4%557 W · 932 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 27c | 359.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 10c | 336.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…2d12backed Yes | 8c | 331.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 72c | 325$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 72c | 325$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 233 | 56.7%132 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 70c | 238.93$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 72c | 225$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 255 | 57.3%146 W · 109 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Yes | 37c | 200.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204c…1e26backed Yes | 31c | 198.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 14c | 190.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 177.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…387fbacked Yes | 30c | 172.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Yes | 50c | 167.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 165.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee6…6df6backed Yes | 27c | 164.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 69c | 163.08$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 161$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 1,442 | 51.9%748 W · 694 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 29c | 146.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 11c | 137.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 61c | 136.37$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 72c | 112.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 222 | 58.6%130 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…9640backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 103.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 69c | 103.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 29c | 102.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…e0ecbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…c8babacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 85.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 1,466 | 56.8%833 W · 633 L | +56.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked No | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 76c | 77.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b19…14fdbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…d86bbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 72c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 205 | 60.5%124 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…93b0backed Yes | 29c | 50.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Yes | 42c | 45.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 75c | 36.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 67c | 36.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 69c | 27.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 1,272 | 56.1%713 W · 559 L | +72.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 51c | 26.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 71c | 17.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 195 | 60.5%118 W · 77 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Club Nacional de Football end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-04-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.