South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Club Nacional de Football end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3afb0c85f27cd19ef91754e90e1ff419a823b1d0e1ac85c5ca051e3672d909cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 34c | 2,762$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 2,646$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.51 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 36c | 956.8$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.49 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 56c | 711.39$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.43 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 58c | 631.09$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.83 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 59c | 405.88$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.99 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 54c | 248.79$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.35 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…2d12backed Yes | 24c | 186.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 11c | 184.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…8b06backed No | 69c | 181.73$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 167.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…42cbbacked Yes | 35c | 167.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 66c | 164.17$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 33c | 142.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Yes | 63c | 141.88$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 137.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 64c | 130$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 57c | 129.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 52c | 75.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 67c | 71.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 69c | 64.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 67c | 64.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…93b0backed Yes | 32c | 45.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 57c | 43.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 33c | 34.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 63c | 32.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 43c | 30.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 67c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 61c | 28.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 47c | 27.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 50c | 25.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…64dabacked No | 67c | 22.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 54c | 21.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1d…3ca2backed No | 67c | 16.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 78c | 16.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Club Nacional de Football end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-04-29?No won
- Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-04-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.