South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb93ec175e9bbf602a23ac8f3475d40a249d6297f29eab673ee8736460dc5ff7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 61c | 4,749$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.01 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 3,172$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.81 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 52c | 2,341$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.34 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 37c | 1,586$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.92 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 1,511$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.36 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…ad5ebacked No | 38c | 996.49$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.73 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 60c | 838.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.56 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 65c | 716.88$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.75 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 23c | 606.51$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.66 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 57c | 525.68$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.37 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 40c | 524.7$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 22c | 508$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.14 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 487.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.79 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 59c | 484.72$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.98 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 49c | 378.09$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 31c | 370.87$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.78 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 56c | 183.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.84 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 39c | 174.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 52c | 161.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.44 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 55c | 131.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 44c | 131.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 107.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed No | 61c | 106.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 35c | 104.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Yes | 36c | 104.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Yes | 50c | 97.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…ee06backed Yes | 20c | 97.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed No | 27c | 94.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…0104backed No | 75c | 92.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Yes | 63c | 84.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Yes | 40c | 77.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Yes | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 58c | 60.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 54c | 59.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 49c | 56.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…42cbbacked No | 23c | 46.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked No | 65c | 42.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 28c | 36.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked Yes | 40c | 32.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64dd…1e72backed No | 52c | 31.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed No | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed No | 47c | 24.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 46c | 23.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…4cd8backed Yes | 51c | 22.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 51c | 21.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-04-29?No won
- Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Club Nacional de Football end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.