CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e9a562f676a9489d6516964e1173fee876cf5058f39b6cdb699e7ec263f6a68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 18,678$13,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,994.02 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Legacy | 35c | 15,349$5,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,372.12 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 12,756$9,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,684.34 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 10,967$7,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,416.82 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Legacy | 35c | 8,902$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.08 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 8,546$5,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.56 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…8ed1backed Legacy | 36c | 8,232$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.42 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Legacy | 38c | 7,587$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.94 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Legacy | 20c | 6,921$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed Legacy | 36c | 3,700$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.98 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 3,557$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.92 | 200 | 41.5%83 W · 117 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Legacy | 19c | 3,345$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.71 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Legacy | 35c | 3,200$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.54 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Legacy | 21c | 2,574$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.03 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Legacy | 30c | 2,405$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.41 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Legacy | 37c | 2,141$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.27 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Legacy | 25c | 2,124$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.42 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Legacy | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,938$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.61 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…ca23backed Legacy | 18c | 1,868$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.2 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,670$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.6 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b9…bdf4backed Legacy | 18c | 1,668$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Legacy | 31c | 1,581$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.69 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,569$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.68 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,564$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.71 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Legacy | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Legacy | 38c | 1,473$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.75 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,310$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.65 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,296$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.78 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Legacy | 28c | 1,184$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.44 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Legacy | 36c | 1,133$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa503…c5b9backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 995.95$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.54 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Legacy | 25c | 982.78$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Legacy | 30c | 877.23$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.87 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Legacy | 21c | 845.32$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.05 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Legacy | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 799.98$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 767.95$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.23 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 766.92$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.81 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 740.13$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.45 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Legacy | 28c | 700$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…1e3abacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 666.41$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.27 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…1325backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 654.2$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.51 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 631.07$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Legacy | 30c | 623.97$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.87 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Legacy | 25c | 602.59$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.54 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Legacy | 28c | 596.58$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.37 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 584.56$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.69 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Legacy | 22c | 577.12$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Legacy | 34c | 571.56$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.33 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Legacy | 8c | 570.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…6258backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 549.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 543.83$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.41 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…2614backed Legacy | 37c | 511.27$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.17 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 505.86$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.17 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Legacy | 28c | 504$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…7d27backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 500$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 199 | 47.2%94 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed Legacy | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 499.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 490.83$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.33 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Legacy | 36c | 474.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 434.7$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.84 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 405$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 404.12$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…f6b5backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 378.36$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…93cbbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 356.75$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…359cbacked Legacy | 15c | 335.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Legacy | 35c | 332.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Legacy | 35c | 330.71$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Legacy | 31c | 312.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Legacy | 23c | 310$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…04cebacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Legacy | 23c | 304.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Legacy | 37c | 303$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Legacy | 36c | 300.39$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Legacy | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 215 | 19.1%41 W · 174 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 296.88$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Legacy | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Legacy | 37c | 281.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Legacy | 27c | 263.01$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 260.25$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 249.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 249.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 248.38$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Legacy | 26c | 235.76$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Legacy | 30c | 215.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…8e0abacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 206.91$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 201.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e1…e05cbacked Legacy | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 587 | 55.9%328 W · 259 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…7b5bbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Legacy | 36c | 198.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 188.46$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 175$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.