CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa0467c9f1121ab8b992b1be9946882acde035edc93d3615db07e374b0962d14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 54c | 3,678$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.32 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.98 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 53c | 1,170$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.91 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 45c | 1,165$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.93 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Over | 47c | 1,016$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.56 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 10c | 808.16$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Over | 46c | 741.99$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.68 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Over | 46c | 632.24$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.41 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 54c | 599.31$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.63 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 45c | 554.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.24 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 55c | 433$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.15 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 357.51$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.15 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 53c | 341.69$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.1 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 72c | 247.66$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Over | 47c | 205$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 53c | 199.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 71c | 148.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Over | 47c | 146.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784e…9547backed Under | 42c | 141.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over | 46c | 139$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Over | 44c | 139$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed Over | 46c | 136$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Over | 46c | 119$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41c…e7b9backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 53c | 107$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…0b74backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 103.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab1a…4620backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Under | 55c | 90.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…8128backed Over | 51c | 76.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed Over | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…20b3backed Over | 47c | 69.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 56c | 65.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 33c | 64.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed Over | 47c | 60.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 73c | 60.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 58c | 47.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Under | 55c | 43.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…2175backed Over | 47c | 41.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…039dbacked Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3f…d4bfbacked Over | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 49c | 30.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4769…4d14backed Over | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…0d18backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Under | 54c | 21.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 78c | 16.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Over | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.