TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Natus Vincere, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,128 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x823d…189dbacked Natus Vincere41c6,119$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.231631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed Natus Vincere43c5,500$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,367.9928960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Legacy56c4,395$2,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.6725655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Legacy62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14021251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Natus Vincere38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14017045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Natus Vincere44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009834.7%34 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Legacy60c2,200$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.4818846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Natus Vincere39c1,800$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.9929839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Legacy61c1,634$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.1317460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Legacy58c1,624$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.5416245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Legacy57c1,250$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.51,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Natus Vincere39c1,184$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.763154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Legacy62c1,149$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.522,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Legacy60c1,100$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4448748.3%42 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Legacy63c1,018$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.722757.3%130 W · 97 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Legacy60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Legacy57c999.05$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.41,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Legacy61c887.99$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.3212950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere56c699.99$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9935242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Legacy57c650.39$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.6713646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Legacy62c607$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.668949.4%44 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Natus Vincere36c600$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.611,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Natus Vincere48c550$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.564058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Natus Vincere43c547.15$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.1816738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Legacy57c518.2$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.8313053.8%70 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere39c503.36$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.325,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c4c…f869backed Legacy61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19512053.3%64 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Legacy57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17238954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Natus Vincere36c378.35$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.211,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Legacy44c368.18$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.1820353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e83…a620backed Natus Vincere43c351.95$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.342846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Legacy62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5850050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Natus Vincere38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Legacy45c265.82$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4625747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Natus Vincere39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e9…b13abacked Legacy61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.519954.3%108 W · 91 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Legacy61c246.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.328654.7%47 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Legacy60c242.8$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.121,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Legacy62c242.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.133354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeebe…5d9bbacked Natus Vincere44c237.43$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4715856.3%89 W · 69 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Natus Vincere43c230.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Legacy56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Natus Vincere41c195.12$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8025941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Natus Vincere42c190.76$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8022252.7%117 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed Legacy58c183.66$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1420958.9%123 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Natus Vincere38c179.41$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7338848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed Natus Vincere42c178.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7529757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Legacy62c170$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.610753.3%57 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Legacy58c167.24$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2444343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Legacy62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2914843.9%65 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Legacy59c149.15$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1547447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Legacy57c119.2$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6426246.9%123 W · 139 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Natus Vincere42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Legacy57c115$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4512260.7%74 W · 48 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6700…67c4backed Natus Vincere40c114.8$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9215351.6%79 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0fc…0ef5backed Natus Vincere39c112.92$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.048359%49 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Natus Vincere39c108.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.518648.8%42 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Natus Vincere39c108.48$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.312,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Legacy62c107.7$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9320055%110 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Legacy62c107$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.663256.3%18 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed Natus Vincere39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Legacy61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3926451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd5…bf27backed Natus Vincere39c90$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.12548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Legacy56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2910847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3baa…96f4backed Legacy62c86$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.684953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Natus Vincere39c83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3713556.3%76 W · 59 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Legacy62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6548566.2%321 W · 164 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x989e…6529backed Natus Vincere39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.213040%52 W · 78 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e7…f559backed Legacy62c79.53$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2214145.4%64 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Legacy50c72.24$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.411,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Natus Vincere40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2834742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6347…3047backed Natus Vincere38c67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4618145.9%83 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Natus Vincere39c60.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7815349.7%76 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Natus Vincere39c58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6214055%77 W · 63 L-0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed Legacy44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.824555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2801…ebdcbacked Natus Vincere39c52.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.623240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Natus Vincere39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032357.6%186 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Natus Vincere38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1924850.4%125 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d2…386fbacked Natus Vincere39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.53221.9%7 W · 25 L-6.1wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-48%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Natus Vincere40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1823354.5%127 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Natus Vincere39c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5527554.9%151 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c27…21a9backed Natus Vincere39c43.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.123158.4%135 W · 96 L-1.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Natus Vincere42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed Legacy62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2638754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb837…1c96backed Legacy62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb5…de15backed Legacy62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Natus Vincere38c28.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9250056.6%283 W · 217 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Natus Vincere39c27.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8212642.9%54 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Legacy60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9199148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bae…6b0dbacked Legacy59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.259646.9%45 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Natus Vincere49c23.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3833156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Legacy58c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8476248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Legacy66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.759364.5%60 W · 33 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Legacy62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.612856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.