CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc53bc01d99bc7bbbcc1f03b7385b1080e0e03016fb0c7465f00db6517d50d602
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Natus Vincere, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Legacy | 44c | 15,762$6,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,767.6 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…189dbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 11,831$7,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,369.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Legacy | 45c | 11,170$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,175.9 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Legacy | 47c | 8,048$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275.37 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…8ed1backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 7,180$4,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,201 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 5,229$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235.36 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Legacy | 40c | 5,041$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.79 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 4,892$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.02 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 4,355$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.23 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 4,330$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.32 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 3,530$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.68 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Legacy | 37c | 3,466$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.8 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Legacy | 60c | 3,213$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.06 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked Legacy | 16c | 3,070$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.88 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,945$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.48 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,905$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.45 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Legacy | 36c | 2,672$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.56 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Legacy | 40c | 2,488$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.74 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Legacy | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.35 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,024$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.36 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,001$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.63 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 1,886$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.28 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Legacy | 50c | 1,651$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.81 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Legacy | 46c | 1,458$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.38 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,400$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.1 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Legacy | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,342$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.21 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,312$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.06 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Legacy | 35c | 1,250$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Legacy | 48c | 1,217$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.28 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,096$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.92 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Legacy | 41c | 981.8$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.26 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 971.75$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.22 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 949.8$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.38 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 893.98$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.99 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 853.59$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.85 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Legacy | 44c | 775.35$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.28 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Legacy | 40c | 766.3$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.78 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Legacy | 51c | 758.96$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.73 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Legacy | 41c | 742.9$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.86 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Legacy | 43c | 703.79$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.16 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Legacy | 24c | 694.48$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.8 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 690.49$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.38 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Legacy | 40c | 685.75$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.71 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Legacy | 40c | 619.01$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.93 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 600.88$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.53 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 578.26$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.91 | 184 | 42.9%79 W · 105 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Legacy | 43c | 576.94$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.95 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Legacy | 42c | 559$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.89 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 535.88$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…f6b5backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 520.06$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.85 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 517.35$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.17 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 502$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.4 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…1325backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked Legacy | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Legacy | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Legacy | 41c | 487.12$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.12 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Legacy | 42c | 411.9$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.9 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Legacy | 20c | 407.4$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.92 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Legacy | 44c | 396.28$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.21 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 380.92$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed Legacy | 22c | 379.09$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.69 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 371.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Legacy | 45c | 363.34$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.46 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 362.12$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.15 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Legacy | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…ca23backed Legacy | 38c | 355.26$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.26 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 349.7$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.82 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Legacy | 38c | 341.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.44 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Legacy | 52c | 340$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 193 | 42.5%82 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Legacy | 39c | 320.51$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.51 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 304.53$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.95 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Legacy | 40c | 260$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Legacy | 49c | 250$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Legacy | 76c | 218.25$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Legacy | 51c | 217.12$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.91 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Legacy | 30c | 216.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.45 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…8128backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 216.62$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.67 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…47fabacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 201.21$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…6258backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…59bfbacked Legacy | 25c | 200$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.99 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 196.79$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 196.03$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed Legacy | 42c | 183.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 179.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd59c…9cfcbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 175.62$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…e91abacked Legacy | 56c | 175.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed Legacy | 32c | 175$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 389 | 45.8%178 W · 211 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 169.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Legacy | 31c | 167.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.62 | 316 | 47.5%150 W · 166 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…9d1ebacked Legacy | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Legacy | 26c | 159.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.46 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked Legacy | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f11…15b5backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 148.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.