TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: K27 vs Wildcard (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
K27of K27, Wildcard
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,466 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Wildcard53c23,362$12,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,374.3136453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Wildcard52c17,912$9,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,314.2941649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked K2749c15,041$7,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,745.645,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked K2773c11,052$8,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,976.3563057.1%360 W · 270 L+40.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Wildcard51c5,715$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.4233359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed K2746c4,478$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,418.352045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed K2747c3,897$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.8738841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed K2746c3,222$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.9961047.7%291 W · 319 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Wildcard37c2,942$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1003834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Wildcard53c2,812$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed K2746c2,775$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cfd…5c91backed Wildcard25c2,400$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59512627%34 W · 92 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked K2762c2,364$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.62,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed K2763c2,233$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.774,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Wildcard43c2,226$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9511,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Wildcard12c2,136$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.872,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Wildcard37c2,131$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.0775438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed K2748c2,059$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.4645854.8%251 W · 207 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed K2751c2,043$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.5429449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed K2755c2,021$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.121,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked K2763c2,005$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.073,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc62…c963backed K2748c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0401442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked Wildcard50c2,000$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00520637.9%78 W · 128 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Wildcard49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801,00752.4%528 W · 479 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked Wildcard52c1,937$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014659.6%87 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed K2749c1,837$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.7331261.2%191 W · 121 L+21.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bf1…294fbacked Wildcard54c1,816$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.4813642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Wildcard42c1,733$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.4742154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Wildcard37c1,668$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.12,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked K2747c1,637$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.577,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Wildcard38c1,527$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.842,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed K2747c1,524$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.993938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed K2751c1,519$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.3119840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed K2748c1,461$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76148350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Wildcard53c1,447$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.7275145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked K2759c1,434$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.575,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed K2748c1,299$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.842,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked K2749c1,287$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.0321045.7%96 W · 114 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed Wildcard46c1,199$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55016949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Wildcard38c1,112$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.052,11942.9%909 W · 1,210 L-66.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked K2761c1,103$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.712,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed K2748c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6759055.3%326 W · 264 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed K2754c1,016$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.184,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked K2746c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54020855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6443backed K2746c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed K2746c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54015838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked Wildcard52c999.98$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9911844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Wildcard53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Wildcard32c892.3$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.0567645%304 W · 372 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked K2747c889.56$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.579732%31 W · 66 L-11.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Wildcard46c874$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.539551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed K2748c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.331,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wildcard36c827.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.752,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed K2768c755.12$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.6464552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed K2753c748$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.141,48458%861 W · 623 L+66.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed K2747c742.02$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.011,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Wildcard52c686.66$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.3355441.2%228 W · 326 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Wildcard23c666.72$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.813,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Wildcard22c662.18$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.664,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Wildcard30c659.03$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7126624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed K2748c655$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.642,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x040d…417abacked Wildcard50c654.29$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3295757.9%33 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked K2747c618.95$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.224646.7%115 W · 131 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked K2750c604.97$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.4913760.6%83 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked K2749c594.83$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.365455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce5…309cbacked Wildcard30c594.72$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808625.6%22 W · 64 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Wildcard50c570.97$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.0222750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed K2747c570.21$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.2110249%50 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed K2753c567.87$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.3862048.2%299 W · 321 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed K2747c563.02$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+62.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed Wildcard14c554.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.581020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-46.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ba…b673backed Wildcard29c518.93$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.250%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed K2754c501.49$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.662,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed K2748c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26032345.2%146 W · 177 L+12.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x094a…e4a9backed K2747c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2653743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75c7…fcccbacked K2750c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25020444.1%90 W · 114 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed K2770c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15037057.3%212 W · 158 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed K2753c460.88$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.081,31444.3%582 W · 732 L+47.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed K2745c449.31$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.1296740.7%394 W · 573 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Wildcard47c444$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.535,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed K2748c409.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.224940.6%101 W · 148 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed K2749c408$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.081,06242.2%448 W · 614 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked K2750c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed K2748c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2085,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Wildcard53c399.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21210644.3%47 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Wildcard52c383.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6825052.8%132 W · 118 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked K2775c368.11$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.164,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Wildcard37c355.05$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4612937.2%48 W · 81 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Wildcard32c347$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.761,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Wildcard44c339.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022757.3%130 W · 97 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wildcard23c332.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.181,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed K2748c331.89$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.584759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Wildcard39c330$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.293,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0054…59ffbacked K2772c320.83$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8312756.7%72 W · 55 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Wildcard24c316.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0874633.4%249 W · 497 L-48.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed K2755c306.6$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3227056.3%152 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed K2762c302.11$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.486,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Wildcard37c300.19$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3672153.7%387 W · 334 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Wildcard55c299.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16540655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6297…1e59backed K2748c295$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.45558.2%32 W · 23 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.