CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb961f37ca12b809de8de2ae2294d5a47205c3cf0ae2a9d70b9aa527fa001b16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 55c | 1,379$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.35 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 41c | 1,288$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.65 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 60c | 1,275$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.26 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Over | 39c | 639$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.88 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 60c | 414.94$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.05 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 34c | 404.84$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.55 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 43c | 395$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.61 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 37c | 343$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.75 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 49c | 283.63$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.08 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 38c | 228$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 56c | 222.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…1523backed Under | 44c | 222.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.85 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…594bbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 59c | 208.22$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…f092backed Over | 54c | 150.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 52c | 134.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Under | 50c | 102.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 54c | 91.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 35c | 63.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 70c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 54c | 36.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Under | 65c | 31.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Wildcard (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)K27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.