TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: K27 vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
K27of K27, Wildcard
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,627
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,627 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked K2751c6,624$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,27463157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Wildcard70c3,142$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,192.862,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked K2762c2,914$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.916142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked K2749c2,774$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.843,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked K2746c2,390$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.532,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed K2752c2,203$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.944,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Wildcard54c2,103$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.452,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed K2718c2,086$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.181,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Wildcard55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9945058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed Wildcard49c1,750$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.4920562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed K2743c1,747$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.1816949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked K2755c1,500$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.392456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Wildcard52c1,350$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.753,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Wildcard55c1,349$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.411,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked K2745c1,097$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.2794645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed K2745c999.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.9915838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Wildcard47c913.38$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.0722729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed K2732c906.91$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.326,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Wildcard47c858$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.7961034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Wildcard50c799.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Wildcard52c783$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.345,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Wildcard55c730$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.59551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Wildcard54c689.98$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.891,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Wildcard49c684$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4438032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked K2747c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.319357%110 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Wildcard61c577.25$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.843,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed K2763c516.34$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.521,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked K2745c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27511650%58 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked K2746c482.43$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.5119546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked Wildcard58c478.4$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.2216248.1%78 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Wildcard54c454.86$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.362,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed K2755c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5514447.9%69 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed K2713c418.03$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.7731654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed K2719c411$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.2917644.9%79 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0b9…5699backed K2740c409.8$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.81631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Wildcard60c406.07$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.434,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked K2717c391.97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.467617.1%13 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed K2745c388.89$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.895,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Wildcard56c387.37$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.441,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8d6…041dbacked Wildcard73c375$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2756735.8%24 W · 43 L-13.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-41.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked K2745c366.58$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.6248948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Wildcard73c346.72$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.6162248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Wildcard58c333$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.452,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf20c…f4c7backed Wildcard57c326.67$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.179960.6%60 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed K2776c322$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4641475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Wildcard58c298.77$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3375438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa817…1c3bbacked Wildcard71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Wildcard79c253.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked K2755c251.01$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7643152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x765a…5ce4backed Wildcard46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11514949%73 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75c7…fcccbacked K2745c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.520444.1%90 W · 114 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0197…1718backed Wildcard55c249.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.493537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Wildcard55c227.79$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8564552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Wildcard49c227$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.691743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked K2744c224.5$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6672353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked K2736c224.16$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.462,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked K2745c221.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12225651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed K2734c205.91$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9241850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Wildcard57c205.08$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.342154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1fe…e21fbacked Wildcard65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13012448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Wildcard50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Wildcard54c198.05$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.792,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Wildcard53c185.91$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9853034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdde5…d1acbacked Wildcard54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34ec…2711backed K2744c181.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.828643%37 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Wildcard62c177.56$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.843,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Wildcard61c172$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.471,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Wildcard51c168$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.482,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Wildcard46c152$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.921952.5%115 W · 104 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Wildcard66c151.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed K2727c149$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.772661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed K2746c145$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.330247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65c0…7003backed K2767c142.28$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.362842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Wildcard54c136$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.860032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed K2745c132.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.036238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Wildcard73c130.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.652,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed K2743c130$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.137453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd9fd…9164backed Wildcard56c127.68$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.57052.9%37 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Wildcard56c125.72$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.562,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Wildcard63c123$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.491,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7401…c482backed Wildcard54c112$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.482951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked K2750c102.46$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.164,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked K2745c100.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5365662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked K2738c96.53$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.221,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Wildcard41c92.04$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4269445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…a44dbacked Wildcard55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010557.1%60 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb087…046bbacked K2721c90.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.432147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Wildcard27c90$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.963038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Wildcard54c83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.682,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed K2778c82.02$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.044,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked Wildcard62c80.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038469.5%267 W · 117 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6bf…05b6backed Wildcard22c75.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.238724.1%21 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked K2733c75.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2228935.3%102 W · 187 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked K2741c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.462,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Wildcard72c67.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0524558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed K2761c64.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1428651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked K2747c63.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.758947.2%42 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d98…7900backed K2767c59.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.432462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked K2730c54.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8152645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed Wildcard35c53.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1918037.8%68 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.