CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70e7fd243aa639321d83321f1081639167e0a45fa646554b661e271d99d8d26a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patins da Ferrariof Patins da Ferrari, Grêmio Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Patins da Ferrari | 55c | 11,769$6,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,283.39 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Patins da Ferrari | 69c | 2,454$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.66 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Grêmio Esports | 31c | 2,430$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.74 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc62…c963backed Grêmio Esports | 42c | 1,969$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Grêmio Esports | 45c | 1,824$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.4 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Grêmio Esports | 50c | 1,642$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.8 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Grêmio Esports | 44c | 1,158$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.48 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Grêmio Esports | 42c | 826.2$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.71 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Patins da Ferrari | 49c | 747.25$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.1 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…3543backed Grêmio Esports | 56c | 742.24$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.64 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Grêmio Esports | 42c | 580.95$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Patins da Ferrari | 56c | 445.34$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.95 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Grêmio Esports | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Grêmio Esports | 49c | 400$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Grêmio Esports | 47c | 383.78$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.38 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Grêmio Esports | 42c | 360.56$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.44 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Patins da Ferrari | 60c | 299.98$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Grêmio Esports | 49c | 249.84$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.45 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Grêmio Esports | 42c | 249.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Grêmio Esports | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Grêmio Esports | 47c | 237.92$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grêmio Esports | 40c | 215.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Grêmio Esports | 46c | 203.17$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Patins da Ferrari | 71c | 190.91$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Grêmio Esports | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Grêmio Esports | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Grêmio Esports | 51c | 160$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Grêmio Esports | 51c | 153.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked Patins da Ferrari | 60c | 148.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Patins da Ferrari | 56c | 145.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Grêmio Esports | 44c | 132.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…6fc5backed Grêmio Esports | 44c | 131.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Grêmio Esports | 34c | 128.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…285dbacked Grêmio Esports | 42c | 116$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Patins da Ferrari | 54c | 113.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767f…533dbacked Grêmio Esports | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Grêmio Esports | 42c | 95.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Grêmio Esports | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…d5debacked Patins da Ferrari | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Grêmio Esports | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Grêmio Esports | 42c | 86.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Grêmio Esports | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…362bbacked Grêmio Esports | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b24…103bbacked Grêmio Esports | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…fa08backed Grêmio Esports | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…2613backed Grêmio Esports | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Grêmio Esports | 27c | 44.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Grêmio Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Grêmio Esports | 29c | 35.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Grêmio Esports | 37c | 30.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Grêmio Esports | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Patins da Ferrari | 55c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Patins da Ferrari | 73c | 24.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…8b09backed Patins da Ferrari | 73c | 24.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Grêmio Esports | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StagePatins da Ferrari won
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Grêmio Esports - Map 1 WinnerPatins da Ferrari won
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Grêmio Esports - Map 2 WinnerPatins da Ferrari won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+3.5)Grêmio Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+3.5)Patins da Ferrari won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.