CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Grêmio Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0808b01d415d09539e5e650e7ce687d27ba8afefa41c8af30ca82dd94f395bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patins da Ferrariof Patins da Ferrari, Grêmio Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Patins da Ferrari | 57c | 1,777$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.92 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Patins da Ferrari | 70c | 1,684$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.35 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Grêmio Esports | 30c | 1,209$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.26 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Grêmio Esports | 36c | 644.77$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.91 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Grêmio Esports | 47c | 431.01$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Patins da Ferrari | 64c | 393$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grêmio Esports | 54c | 250.16$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.87 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Grêmio Esports | 29c | 232.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Grêmio Esports | 43c | 224.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Patins da Ferrari | 66c | 210.85$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Patins da Ferrari | 44c | 209.91$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.87 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Grêmio Esports | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…5f0ebacked Grêmio Esports | 41c | 185.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Patins da Ferrari | 62c | 168.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Grêmio Esports | 40c | 154.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Grêmio Esports | 37c | 152.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Patins da Ferrari | 58c | 151.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Grêmio Esports | 31c | 151$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Grêmio Esports | 26c | 143.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…bcb1backed Grêmio Esports | 38c | 143.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Grêmio Esports | 27c | 143$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Patins da Ferrari | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Grêmio Esports | 47c | 114.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Grêmio Esports | 22c | 87.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Grêmio Esports | 45c | 72.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Grêmio Esports | 40c | 71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Grêmio Esports | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Grêmio Esports | 49c | 63.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Grêmio Esports | 44c | 62.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Patins da Ferrari | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Grêmio Esports | 53c | 55.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Grêmio Esports | 23c | 47.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Patins da Ferrari | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Grêmio Esports | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Patins da Ferrari | 57c | 42.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Patins da Ferrari | 62c | 41.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Patins da Ferrari | 64c | 38.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Grêmio Esports | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Patins da Ferrari | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Patins da Ferrari | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Patins da Ferrari | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Grêmio Esports | 64c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Patins da Ferrari | 59c | 23.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Patins da Ferrari | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Patins da Ferrari | 63c | 16.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Grêmio Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StagePatins da Ferrari won
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Grêmio Esports - Map 1 WinnerPatins da Ferrari won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+3.5)Grêmio Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+3.5)Patins da Ferrari won
- Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5)Patins da Ferrari won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.