CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Grêmio Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46fa9c7b56cfd6d914f85bd730a43ac57f5a3951ea6e8471af7fd399502789d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patins da Ferrariof Patins da Ferrari, Grêmio Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Patins da Ferrari | 71c | 1,893$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.61 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…dbe1backed Grêmio Esports | 22c | 1,621$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Patins da Ferrari | 60c | 904.85$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.78 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Grêmio Esports | 30c | 892.62$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.6 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Grêmio Esports | 29c | 731$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 343 | 40.8%140 W · 203 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Grêmio Esports | 34c | 700.61$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.96 | 432 | 53%229 W · 203 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Grêmio Esports | 56c | 630.78$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.2 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Patins da Ferrari | 78c | 574.57$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.57 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Patins da Ferrari | 60c | 559.38$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Grêmio Esports | 37c | 469$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.58 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Grêmio Esports | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Patins da Ferrari | 41c | 399.34$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.61 | 193 | 58%112 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Patins da Ferrari | 44c | 255.72$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.77 | 624 | 48.2%301 W · 323 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Grêmio Esports | 29c | 232.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Patins da Ferrari | 78c | 217.03$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 428 | 54.9%235 W · 193 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Patins da Ferrari | 56c | 183.73$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Patins da Ferrari | 68c | 182.7$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Grêmio Esports | 22c | 176.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 309 | 38.5%119 W · 190 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Grêmio Esports | 22c | 163.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Grêmio Esports | 14c | 147$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Grêmio Esports | 23c | 133.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Grêmio Esports | 21c | 132.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Patins da Ferrari | 69c | 124.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Grêmio Esports | 30c | 119$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Grêmio Esports | 32c | 112.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Grêmio Esports | 40c | 105.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e7…dc64backed Grêmio Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Grêmio Esports | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Grêmio Esports | 22c | 83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 265 | 44.2%117 W · 148 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Grêmio Esports | 54c | 79.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Patins da Ferrari | 79c | 71.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Patins da Ferrari | 50c | 65.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Patins da Ferrari | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Patins da Ferrari | 60c | 62.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Grêmio Esports | 36c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Patins da Ferrari | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Patins da Ferrari | 53c | 40.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Patins da Ferrari | 46c | 40.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 321 | 38.6%124 W · 197 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Patins da Ferrari | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Patins da Ferrari | 48c | 37.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Patins da Ferrari | 64c | 37.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Grêmio Esports | 53c | 35.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…c85cbacked Grêmio Esports | 45c | 31.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -69%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Grêmio Esports | 35c | 28.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked Patins da Ferrari | 79c | 21.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 108 | 67.6%73 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…d5debacked Patins da Ferrari | 72c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Grêmio Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StagePatins da Ferrari won
- Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Grêmio Esports - Map 2 WinnerPatins da Ferrari won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+3.5)Grêmio Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+3.5)Patins da Ferrari won
- Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5)Patins da Ferrari won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.