MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc24e826fe4c7231eb3f6271d19222c29ee44c513b3b8cfaffa0a15e433852009
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $675,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $692,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $675,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 149,926$82,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,893.86 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 60,000$23,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,799.97 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 54,904$25,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,099.19 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 50,883$23,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,968.25 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 45,000$23,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,850 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 41,664$19,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,205.33 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 40,910$17,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,705.39 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 29,754$13,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,048.99 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 25,287$15,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,398.47 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 25,151$11,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,610.34 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed San Diego Padres | 1c | 23,883$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.67 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 18,847$9,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,988.71 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 16,013$10,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,319.86 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 14,402$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 25c | 12,714$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.96 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 9,995$4,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,425.81 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 23c | 8,225$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.86 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 7,810$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,217.48 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 6,800$3,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.11 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 5,562$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.53 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 5,347$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.25 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 4,934$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.97 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 4,757$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 4,096$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.02 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked San Diego Padres | 38c | 4,011$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.33 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 3,705$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.43 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed San Diego Padres | 0c | 3,506$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.98 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 3,408$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.79 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 19c | 3,311$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.18 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 3,150$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 3,027$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.76 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 2,693$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.2 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 2,591$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.08 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed San Diego Padres | 10c | 2,572$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.87 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…f955backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,957$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.52 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 1,904$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.31 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 1,864$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.95 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,828$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.26 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,761$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.55 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.06 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 1,633$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.13 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 1,501$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.37 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.34 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,275$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.76 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Diego Padres | 6c | 1,189$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 1,176$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.26 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 1,097$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.64 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…dcbfbacked San Diego Padres | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 966.92$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 938$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.14 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 849.11$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.52 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 779.08$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.86 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 739.76$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.07 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 719.3$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.16 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 687.74$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.72 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 668.82$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.65 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 76c | 650.44$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.97 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 6c | 632.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 618.59$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.55 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Diego Padres | 15c | 602.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 568.11$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.82 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 519$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.07 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 500.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.52 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked San Diego Padres | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked San Diego Padres | 67c | 479.22$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…bed6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 446.81$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f4…9efdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 432$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.51 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed San Diego Padres | 8c | 429.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 424$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.26 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 421.48$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.63 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 410$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.24 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 396$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.71 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 395.42$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 392.71$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 377$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 366$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…6d1abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 357.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 346.1$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 320.45$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.45 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed San Diego Padres | 16c | 281.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 276.75$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.45 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 271.19$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 270.95$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.