MLB · resolved market

Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1801fb48ba4cf486355bf718cef3d3dac72ca9338db3fe07f281bcba44902166

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $69,145
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $69,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,145 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under	50c	36,615$18,307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,307.36	436	47%205 W · 231 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	50c	24,140$12,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,057.17	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	50c	8,609$4,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,313.23	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	48c	8,421$4,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,399.83	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	49c	6,718$3,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,319.08	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under	51c	4,902$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,401.96	390	47.4%185 W · 205 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Over	49c	3,607$1,768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,767.61	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	18c	1,769$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.81	1,269	51.1%648 W · 621 L	+23.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	47c	1,710$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.74	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Over	52c	1,491$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.43	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over	50c	1,417$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.5	920	54%497 W · 423 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under	48c	1,393$669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$724.37	195	46.2%90 W · 105 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under	51c	1,212$615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$596.75	556	53.4%297 W · 259 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	53c	1,006$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.97	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	50c	914$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457	1,851	53.1%982 W · 869 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	54c	707$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.08	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	52c	674.52$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.86	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over	45c	665.2$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.34	410	51.7%212 W · 198 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under	62c	645.16$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.16	134	61.9%83 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	46c	631.5$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.12	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over	50c	435.72$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.86	614	50.8%312 W · 302 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	48c	401.46$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.11	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over	49c	400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	224	48.7%109 W · 115 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	49c	400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	457	48.6%222 W · 235 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Over	41c	386$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.24	344	43.9%151 W · 193 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over	48c	378.33$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.6	403	41.4%167 W · 236 L	-20.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under	78c	328.06$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.53	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Under	53c	316.13$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.58	434	59%256 W · 178 L	+19.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	382	52.1%199 W · 183 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	51c	199.99$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.2	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	+25.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over	46c	189.4$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.12	413	46.7%193 W · 220 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over	18c	176.87$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.68	405	54.8%222 W · 183 L	+17.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Over	18c	176.87$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.68	77	48.1%37 W · 40 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over	50c	169.38$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.69	196	54.1%106 W · 90 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Over	18c	164.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	267	53.9%144 W · 123 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Over	18c	164.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	91	47.3%43 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	21c	156$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.05	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	50c	155.93$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.97	297	52.5%156 W · 141 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Over	44c	154.98$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.19	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Over	50c	144$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	87	54%47 W · 40 L	+5.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	49c	130.95$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.99	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Under	52c	108.51$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.08	170	47.1%80 W · 90 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	22c	108.26$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.71	1,043	49%511 W · 532 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	541	46.8%253 W · 288 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under	51c	99.98$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.99	80	45%36 W · 44 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…24ffbacked Over	54c	99.75$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.39	248	43.5%108 W · 140 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-23%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under	19c	95.55$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.39	547	15.9%87 W · 460 L	-40.7wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Over	31c	91.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.84	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0570…16c9backed Under	71c	91.3$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.22	106	42.5%45 W · 61 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under	53c	88.83$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.86	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed Over	49c	80.2$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.97	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1,197	53.9%645 W · 552 L	+42.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	52c	79.99$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.01	528	52.1%275 W · 253 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	34c	73$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.82	1,814	49.1%891 W · 923 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Over	20c	70.23$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.33	484	51%247 W · 237 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over	45c	66.11$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.43	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over	50c	60.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.39	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Over	48c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	412	36.7%151 W · 261 L	-16.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over	48c	50.52$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.25	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	281	47.7%134 W · 147 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	49c	49.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.1	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ab…18c6backed Under	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	111	51.4%57 W · 54 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Over	48c	48.13$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-13.5wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2149…51bfbacked Over	53c	46.8$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.92	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+3.0wins	+0.12per pick	60cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	39c	46.64$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.49	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	24c	45.45$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	192	52.6%101 W · 91 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	546	51.3%280 W · 266 L	+29.8wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Over	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	130	25.4%33 W · 97 L	-17.3wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbd62…344abacked Over	50c	39.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.57	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	65c	39.08$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.56	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under	31c	38.03$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.24	1,777	58.4%1,037 W · 740 L	+91.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Under	49c	37.4$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.99	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under	50c	34.77$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.56	694	47.6%330 W · 364 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2d…faeebacked Over	48c	33.12$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	48c	31.44$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.35	1,804	53.8%970 W · 834 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Under	45c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over	49c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	1,753	50.8%890 W · 863 L	+29.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x409d…8f47backed Under	51c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	110	50.9%56 W · 54 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	228	49.6%113 W · 115 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	50c	29.57$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.79	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Over	50c	29.04$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	292	55.8%163 W · 129 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c99…d91abacked Under	51c	29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.21	122	35.2%43 W · 79 L	-10.5wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Under	53c	28.58$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.38	172	55.8%96 W · 76 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03c…1c1ebacked Over	50c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb2…86febacked Over	50c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x218c…5b0abacked Over	50c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f5…1ac2backed Over	50c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacf1…98b4backed Over	50c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bdf…e240backed Under	53c	24.53$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.53	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Over	53c	23.11$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over	50c	22.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	1,245	56.9%708 W · 537 L	+31.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b5…359dbacked Over	50c	22.46$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.23	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e20…5cf9backed Over	49c	20.87$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	150	48%72 W · 78 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Under	50c	20.01$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.96	830	53%440 W · 390 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5this page
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego PadresToronto Blue Jays won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego PadresYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event