MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc97296d8fa618846b9dfe57fe52984bad659340b5ac24e125e00a06d5b767515
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 18,376$8,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,239.68 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 42c | 10,125$4,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,213.49 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 7,426$3,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.28 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 53c | 6,128$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.25 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 58c | 3,033$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.32 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 62c | 2,888$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.66 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.1 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 58c | 1,888$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.34 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 56c | 1,857$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.76 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 39c | 1,264$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.79 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 59c | 1,250$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.5 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 1,220$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 1,085$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.1 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 54c | 1,085$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.1 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 1,024$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 55c | 916.36$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.36 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 567$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 72c | 552.79$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 528.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.05 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 55c | 493.93$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.27 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 447.8$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.66 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Under | 8c | 431.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 58c | 427.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.07 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Under | 19c | 421$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 44c | 416.32$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.07 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 46c | 348.06$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 53c | 310.28$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.83 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 18c | 293.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 40c | 282.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.83 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 280$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 54c | 232.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Over | 16c | 227.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.96 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 175.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 56c | 173.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.51 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 20c | 146.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 42c | 131.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +228%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 58c | 104.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 45c | 95.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Over | 74c | 92.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 44c | 91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 26c | 88.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 44c | 81.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 45c | 75.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 68.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Over | 59c | 58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 55c | 53.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Under | 42c | 53.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Under | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Under | 59c | 48.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 47c | 48.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 47c | 47.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 58c | 46.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 56c | 44.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 56c | 43.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 47c | 36.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 66c | 36.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 35.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 57c | 35.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 58c | 35.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 44c | 35.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 45c | 34.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 45c | 33.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Under | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 73c | 32.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 53c | 31.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 53c | 31.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Over | 57c | 29.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 43c | 26.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 44c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Over | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 46c | 22.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Over | 57c | 22.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Over | 58c | 18.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Over | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego PadresToronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.