TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FaZeof FaZe, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$411,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$496,171

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,534 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed FaZe41c24,444$10,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,421.8533343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked FaZe54c17,690$9,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,108.883834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed BetBoom Team18c14,511$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.211,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee6…fe26backed BetBoom Team2c13,071$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed BetBoom Team47c12,825$5,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,986.6336555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked BetBoom Team39c12,656$4,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,979.8622129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked BetBoom Team59c12,597$7,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,402.3525655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked BetBoom Team48c12,500$5,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,985.1636453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked BetBoom Team3c11,014$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.6532832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked FaZe77c8,509$6,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.2922468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed BetBoom Team59c8,397$4,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,928.833360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+42.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed FaZe39c8,271$3,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,045.0320354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked FaZe61c7,976$4,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.3841040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked FaZe41c7,797$3,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,618.4746165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked BetBoom Team15c6,514$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.527617.1%13 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked FaZe79c5,699$4,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.8563157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed BetBoom Team18c4,980$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.892,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked BetBoom Team59c4,887$2,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88635745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…08d2backed FaZe42c4,851$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,813.766450%32 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed BetBoom Team57c4,660$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,656.228943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed FaZe53c4,484$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.4481843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed FaZe70c4,074$2,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.4616542.4%70 W · 95 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked FaZe40c4,042$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.4292456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed BetBoom Team61c3,700$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25710452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked BetBoom Team10c3,393$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.0243152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked BetBoom Team59c3,263$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.2619849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed BetBoom Team60c3,112$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.6164552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed FaZe67c3,100$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01412571.2%89 W · 36 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked BetBoom Team61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.991,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f56…d7dbbacked BetBoom Team40c2,937$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.083930.8%12 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb16…7670backed FaZe80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed BetBoom Team61c2,398$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.765455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed FaZe42c2,223$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.89023.3%21 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed BetBoom Team59c2,203$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3004240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked BetBoom Team61c2,131$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed FaZe52c2,083$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.861034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed BetBoom Team1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked BetBoom Team62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.9749849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked FaZe37c2,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.9229154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked FaZe78c1,907$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.0838454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked BetBoom Team61c1,852$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.724751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed BetBoom Team61c1,803$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+69.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed FaZe47c1,796$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.877353.4%39 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+139.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked BetBoom Team30c1,700$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.6175245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0af2…a2bbbacked BetBoom Team47c1,569$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.064348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked FaZe39c1,508$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.6932542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BetBoom Team31c1,500$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.912,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed BetBoom Team31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46517737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed FaZe66c1,442$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.1141050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed FaZe39c1,242$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.3227961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed BetBoom Team60c1,208$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.0726360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed FaZe42c1,154$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.335836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed BetBoom Team9c1,123$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6328549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86df…7d27backed BetBoom Team60c1,109$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.5419947.2%94 W · 105 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed BetBoom Team55c1,100$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60912118.2%22 W · 99 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-52.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked FaZe45c1,070$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.593,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed FaZe39c1,030$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.141,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc698…6794backed FaZe39c1,026$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.641936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed BetBoom Team59c1,023$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.361,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BetBoom Team34c1,021$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.074,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FaZe41c1,002$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.451,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked BetBoom Team6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6069624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed BetBoom Team61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61013360.2%80 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked BetBoom Team59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59020248.5%98 W · 104 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x996c…b6ecbacked FaZe69c999.99$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31018860.1%113 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed BetBoom Team53c999.98$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9943455.1%239 W · 195 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed FaZe39c994.87$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.8725440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed BetBoom Team31c988.78$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.691,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x8fd6…9d99backed FaZe39c972.62$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.33842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed FaZe61c972.5$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.217759.9%106 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FaZe42c957.86$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.8681751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ea…49e9backed FaZe39c888$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.685749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked FaZe41c856.71$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.716555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team58c856.47$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.022,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…6b17backed FaZe43c850$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48110551.4%54 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed BetBoom Team60c833$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.860248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed BetBoom Team22c808.13$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.127037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BetBoom Team29c772.43$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.612,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed BetBoom Team23c757.98$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9975438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed BetBoom Team60c757$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.1428651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…c848backed FaZe38c750$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46511135.1%39 W · 72 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked BetBoom Team45c726.18$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32519546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BetBoom Team46c712.65$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.192,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BetBoom Team43c696.33$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.421,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed BetBoom Team43c687$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.3246345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e6a…681dbacked FaZe39c680$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.84330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1153…b298backed BetBoom Team33c676.6$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-62.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed BetBoom Team61c674.98$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.7413550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed BetBoom Team62c645.16$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked BetBoom Team59c630$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.71,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed BetBoom Team60c621$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.66546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked BetBoom Team59c609$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.315066%33 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a1d…78d4backed FaZe66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.062576%19 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FaZe37c603.59$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked BetBoom Team62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37222241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fec…e218backed BetBoom Team61c599.96$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.982751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+57.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked FaZe70c599.13$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.2435466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked BetBoom Team19c583.75$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.541,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4579…dfdfbacked FaZe61c577.62$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.624042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed BetBoom Team59c564.41$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33310150.5%51 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.