TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,306

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,579 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over51c13,782$7,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,020.9450054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under49c6,152$3,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,137.4547147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Under48c5,189$2,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,673.6636645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under51c2,336$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.861,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c1,887$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.3961948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under49c1,371$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.338841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.394940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under38c957.05$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.271,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Under49c881.4$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.46654.5%36 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40039038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Under38c785.08$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.9628651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed Under51c686.27$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.273464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Under50c507.81$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25515838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under52c500.99$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.4811849.2%58 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23510251%52 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Under53c461.7$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2178353%44 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe075…bf89backed Over47c461.7$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21717146.2%79 W · 92 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under51c399.99$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.82,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb417…d931backed Under51c382.31$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.336446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Over48c362.73$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1110863.9%69 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c242.53$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.182,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Over29c240.54$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.438252.4%43 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0810847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdde5…d1acbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under50c188$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9437453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under54c173.9$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.63,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Over65c154.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012157.9%70 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under72c154.74$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9923244.8%104 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ce5…309cbacked Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.58625.6%22 W · 64 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa73a…27d9backed Under49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.456947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9dd…13a2backed Under49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.452347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Over50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.046854.4%37 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.045955.9%33 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Under52c100.01$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4851348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…1523backed Over50c97.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.745851.7%30 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.156942%29 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under68c93.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.195,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Under50c88$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4422746.7%106 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7e…8970backed Over63c79.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509453.2%50 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Under52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.925341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Over50c76.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0921055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under35c64.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.91,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Over51c62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6258745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.223756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Over49c59.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3730639.5%121 W · 185 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…0747backed Under51c58.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.736346%29 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked Under51c58.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7317067.6%115 W · 55 L+14.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over34c55.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.62,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over22c54.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.025973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Over59c50.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306450%32 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.520556.6%116 W · 89 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85b6…f439backed Under49c44.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.494355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over35c42.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.741,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed Over47c41.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.463568.6%24 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Over60c41.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7719849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa7…8332backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed Under52c40.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.384641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over58c39.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8798856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+47%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b5…ecffbacked Over51c38.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205879.3%46 W · 12 L+10.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+31.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.464746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over29c37.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1568659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2175…4b33backed Under52c37.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.984040%16 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Under51c33.14$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2411358.4%66 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Over66c33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7832139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Over48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158160.5%49 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over40c30.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.337149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523842.4%101 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf3f…0aa4backed Under52c30.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31cb…2442backed Under35c29.82$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.389748.5%47 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under50c29.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.828843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed Under51c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2110956.9%62 W · 47 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d1a…e8a4backed Under49c28.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.331154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under55c27.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.242,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2da…fdd7backed Under72c25.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5076…e15dbacked Under49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7531759.9%190 W · 127 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over65c24.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2566436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ec…1d52backed Over50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcd5…6e00backed Over49c21.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.581850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4927…deaebacked Under72c20.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.683551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.813050.8%66 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c86…7effbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe15…c560backed Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9199…8638backed Over61c19.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.13455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed Under73c15.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0741372.2%298 W · 115 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.