Mls · resolved market
Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6dd1e3b926d3ba6b051bcddf369d9eb5f39dc9cb12be07dfb925986c6ea27da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta United FCof Nashville SC, Atlanta United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nashville SC | 5c | 11,757$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.8 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta United FC | 62c | 8,709$5,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.01 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Nashville SC | 21c | 6,565$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.4 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Nashville SC | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Nashville SC | 39c | 2,031$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Atlanta United FC | 62c | 1,506$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.43 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Nashville SC | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Nashville SC | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Nashville SC | 36c | 1,107$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Atlanta United FC | 61c | 1,093$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.23 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Atlanta United FC | 66c | 1,038$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Nashville SC | 40c | 936.97$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.79 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nashville SC | 39c | 883.69$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.79 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Atlanta United FC | 62c | 741.46$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.82 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Nashville SC | 37c | 541.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Nashville SC | 39c | 514.36$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Nashville SC | 39c | 500.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.25 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Nashville SC | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…7f05backed Nashville SC | 39c | 361.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nashville SC | 37c | 278.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.19 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Nashville SC | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Nashville SC | 38c | 165$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Nashville SC | 40c | 142.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…306dbacked Nashville SC | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nashville SC | 18c | 122.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Nashville SC | 39c | 119.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Atlanta United FC | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Nashville SC | 39c | 94.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Nashville SC | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlanta United FC | 60c | 77.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Nashville SC | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Atlanta United FC | 62c | 68.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Atlanta United FC | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Atlanta United FC | 59c | 64.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Nashville SC | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Atlanta United FC | 61c | 52.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Nashville SC | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Nashville SC | 39c | 42.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…32a1backed Nashville SC | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Nashville SC | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd60…c454backed Atlanta United FC | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Atlanta United FC | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nashville SC | 38c | 27.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d8…9f99backed Atlanta United FC | 60c | 21.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Atlanta United FC | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8379…7a2abacked Atlanta United FC | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Atlanta United FC | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Atlanta United FC | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)this page
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Atlanta United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Atlanta United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Nashville SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Nashville SC O/U 1.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Nashville SC O/U 2.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)Atlanta United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.