Mls · resolved market
Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67ee15a8f9ce1fa27d99394f4686a4f4174899109ebb289384ef779b51e58005
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 48c | 13,754$6,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,661.37 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 4,182$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.18 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 63c | 3,975$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.27 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 61c | 3,382$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.86 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 3,191$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.28 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…138cbacked Over | 37c | 3,000$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 53c | 2,823$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 2,547$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.8 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 999.97$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.98 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 41c | 822.46$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.25 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 42c | 799.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 20c | 613.4$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.68 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed Over | 57c | 424.01$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Over | 58c | 422.41$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 57c | 417.21$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 42c | 381.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.56 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 59c | 339.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 242.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.41 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 44c | 228.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.35 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 50c | 200.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Under | 65c | 170.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Over | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 42c | 159.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.52 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 56c | 113.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 38c | 103$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed Under | 53c | 93.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 44c | 92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Under | 44c | 86.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 48c | 82.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 69c | 69.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…cd73backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 41c | 47.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 45.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…93f6backed Over | 46c | 43.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 52c | 43.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 59c | 42.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 41c | 40.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 80c | 36.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 42c | 33.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 65c | 31.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Over | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…7f0cbacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Over | 59c | 25.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7376…7767backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 58c | 24.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Under | 65c | 16.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Atlanta United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Atlanta United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Nashville SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Nashville SC O/U 1.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Nashville SC O/U 2.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)Atlanta United FC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)Atlanta United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.