Mls · resolved market

Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x347ac4f5af5a3776e391c7d1d6a241b04c690685031d4855d8f171a1bac76c2d

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $48,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,027 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under	58c	6,610$3,865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,744.75	989	45.4%449 W · 540 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	39c	6,000$2,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,310	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	47c	3,613$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	190	44.7%85 W · 105 L	+9.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Over	43c	2,172$944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$944.22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Under	63c	1,587$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.3	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-43%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	53c	1,577$828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$748.93	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	40c	1,422$571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850.92	1,444	36.8%532 W · 912 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	56c	1,401$779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.8	1,880	36.6%688 W · 1,192 L	-7.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over	21c	1,285$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.54	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Under	53c	1,200$636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	42c	1,194$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.85	228	41.7%95 W · 133 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Over	17c	1,120$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.81	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.16per pick	41cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Over	1c	1,111$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Over	1c	1,082$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.82	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+5.3wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over	1c	1,082$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.82	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over	47c	1,066$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	19c	1,000$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$810	1,270	48%610 W · 660 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	78c	998.56$783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.17	240	46.7%112 W · 128 L	-15.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	19c	963.35$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$780.31	728	50.7%369 W · 359 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	58c	869$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.31	714	43.7%312 W · 402 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	78c	850.05$663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.02	923	46.6%430 W · 493 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	39c	749.38$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.37	366	46.7%171 W · 195 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under	19c	721.38$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.32	200	43%86 W · 114 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a1…30d1backed Over	27c	649.01$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.23	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	20c	636.39$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.11	129	51.2%66 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	53c	622.94$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.78	681	50.8%346 W · 335 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	39c	603.89$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.29	314	46.5%146 W · 168 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	35c	595.32$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.36	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Over	52c	511.35$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.9	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+3.8wins	+0.25per pick	48cpaid	+81.1%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over	37c	493.48$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.23	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	73c	412.39$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.02	258	51.2%132 W · 126 L	+16.2wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under	46c	400$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	21c	395.78$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.32	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	40c	345$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.41	444	47.3%210 W · 234 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	58c	312.05$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.06	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	+10.5wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Under	74c	298.21$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.26	18	83.3%15 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.15per pick	68cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over	31c	294.27$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.61	220	42.7%94 W · 126 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over	38c	276.3$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.94	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	26c	254.57$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.07	1,009	46.2%466 W · 543 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under	73c	250$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.5	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	73c	238.56$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.41	239	53.6%128 W · 111 L	+14.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	38c	218.43$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.9	352	47.7%168 W · 184 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	63c	213.19$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.82	1,262	45.2%571 W · 691 L	-28.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Over	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	79c	164$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.56	333	46.8%156 W · 177 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over	22c	157.08$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.43	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+142.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	23c	129.44$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	92	50%46 W · 46 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under	77c	127$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.23	145	49.7%72 W · 73 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	24c	124.18$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.29	802	49.8%399 W · 403 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	73c	117.24$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.4	270	58.9%159 W · 111 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Over	26c	111.52$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.29	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	19c	101$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.52	1,301	51.2%666 W · 635 L	-19.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over	70c	100$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-3.7wins	-0.31per pick	73cpaid	-42%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over	46c	99.98$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.99	76	34.2%26 W · 50 L	-8.4wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under	58c	87.93$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.93	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under	62c	86.5$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.87	48	68.8%33 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under	54c	83.33$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.33	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	17c	83.3$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.16	967	56.8%549 W · 418 L	+73.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Over	41c	82.93$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over	44c	81.48$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.85	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	102	49%50 W · 52 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81d…20f7backed Under	68c	73.83$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.83	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.5wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+47.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	20c	70$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e8…5cd6backed Over	43c	67.44$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under	76c	65.77$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.79	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	43cpaid	-63.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over	42c	65.77$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.88	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked Over	24c	58.44$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over	26c	57.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over	33c	55$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Under	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Over	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	40%4 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over	47c	42.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1c…c864backed Over	47c	41.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over	45c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.8	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+70.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb651…b4f7backed Over	53c	37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.68	12	83.3%10 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	68cpaid	+25%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Under	66c	35$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.9	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+4.1wins	+0.18per pick	56cpaid	+32%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xace3…f9b0backed Over	79c	30$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.7	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	79cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d77…d635backed Over	47c	29.98$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9583…fa5dbacked Over	44c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	43c	24.61$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.04	128	39.8%51 W · 77 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	78c	22.73$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.73	530	46.4%246 W · 284 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under	59c	20.17$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.27	92	53.3%49 W · 43 L	+7.6wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8095…d7abbacked Over	63c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5this page
Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Atlanta United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Atlanta United FC O/U 1.5Under won
Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Nashville SC O/U 0.5Over won
Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Nashville SC O/U 1.5Under won
Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Nashville SC O/U 2.5Under won
Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Atlanta United FC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)Atlanta United FC won
Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)Atlanta United FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event