Mls · resolved market
Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28dce78725da6b09f67fe8c5d01f16a00a6be9e2940f2f75989610e5a4b4160c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 9c | 3,159$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.92 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed Yes | 56c | 1,591$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 55c | 1,458$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 44c | 940.47$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.66 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 44c | 873.41$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.84 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 45c | 871.11$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.11 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 587.29$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.26 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 53c | 398$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.92 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 394.13$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.45 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 238.21$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Yes | 56c | 178.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 49c | 165$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked No | 51c | 162.4$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 70c | 153.16$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 48c | 131.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 39c | 128.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 19c | 125.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 76c | 125$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 47c | 116.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 70c | 97.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 49c | 81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…768ebacked Yes | 55c | 70.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 45c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 56c | 68.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 34.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed No | 47c | 27.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Yes | 51c | 20.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Atlanta United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Atlanta United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Nashville SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Nashville SC O/U 1.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Nashville SC O/U 2.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)Atlanta United FC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)Atlanta United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.