WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc79f7a8520748cf7ecb6ecdbede9c174dbdc6628f7487f9dfb450312b3cf77d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 10,444$5,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,118.16 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 7,050$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.88 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 6,000$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.85 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 4,827$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 4,608$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.94 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 4,090$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.1 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 3,756$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.88 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 3,015$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.86 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 2,430$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.08 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 2,191$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.58 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 1,948$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.43 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 1,596$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 1,533$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.97 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 1,403$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 1,095$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.13 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 1,034$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.34 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 765$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.75 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 702.93$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.73 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 659.72$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 602.61$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.35 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Toronto Tempo | 17c | 575.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.31 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 552.6$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…f23cbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 488.24$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Toronto Tempo | 64c | 466.88$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 258.31$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 223.17$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 169$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 159$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 150.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 150$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…32a1backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 144.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 119.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Washington Mystics | 76c | 107.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 102.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Washington Mystics | 38c | 98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Toronto Tempo | 27c | 96.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Tempo | 32c | 96.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 82.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Washington Mystics | 44c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Toronto Tempo | 26c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Washington Mystics | 43c | 59.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 58.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 58.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Toronto Tempo | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 51.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 50.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 47.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 47.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Toronto Tempo | 42c | 46.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 28.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Toronto Tempo | 62c | 24.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…e37bbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 22.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Toronto TempoWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 170.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 171.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 172.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.