WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e94b4cbb9b28f7e8d48e92b51d80d02db1b748a5830c789b35a712f82d6fee1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 0c | 8,886$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 8,091$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.81 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Under | 54c | 6,268$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 53c | 4,508$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 53c | 2,748$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.8 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 1,280$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.04 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 46c | 1,235$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.1 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 53c | 1,106$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.77 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Over | 46c | 1,041$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.01 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 926.8$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.6 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 539.48$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.72 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 402.05$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.94 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 47c | 356.26$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.44 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 46c | 298.7$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Under | 64c | 116.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Under | 54c | 105.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 52c | 95.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Under | 54c | 87.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 86.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…b948backed Under | 64c | 69.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 46c | 65.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Over | 40c | 62.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 46c | 61.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 48c | 58.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4543…e693backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 47c | 26.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 46c | 22.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 172.5this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Toronto TempoWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 170.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 171.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.