WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5066f0231f82ca97200ad3907f64d96dc5b8f5b4dcd932c19e735f972775ae89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Over | 50c | 4,100$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Under | 51c | 4,092$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 3,930$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.7 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 2,235$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.17 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,779$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.65 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 1,298$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.02 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 49c | 1,266$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.17 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Under | 50c | 740$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 51c | 560.94$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 519.86$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.18 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 383.66$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.83 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 273$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 51c | 256.08$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 256$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 228.14$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 216.25$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…fc39backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…d2c0backed Under | 51c | 94.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 91.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Under | 68c | 86.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 79.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 49c | 76.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 49c | 50.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 50c | 45.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…b180backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 50c | 37.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Over | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -7.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 32.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 53c | 30.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 50c | 20.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 171.5this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Toronto TempoWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 170.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 172.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.