WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd844d982068d1a8ef26c2d617d2bfecb80ac5492fc5e16af73e9e6740e430980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 35,019$18,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,540.38 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 15,168$7,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,929.62 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 7,422$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,934.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 6,068$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.04 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 5,555$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.59 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 3,998$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 3,035$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.74 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 3,034$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.04 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Mystics | 44c | 2,808$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.45 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 2,764$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 2,298$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.03 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Tempo | 56c | 2,280$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.98 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Tempo | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.94 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 1,239$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.47 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 1,027$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.5 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 991.47$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.56 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 909$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.77 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Toronto Tempo | 55c | 868.26$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e5…9105backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 776.6$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.6 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 700$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.5 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 626.13$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.85 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Toronto Tempo | 53c | 582.02$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.29 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Tempo | 53c | 512$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 500.81$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.43 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 478.77$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.96 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.98 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Tempo | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 257.11$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 247.06$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.91 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 229.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 197.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587a…7e8dbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 133$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 106.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Toronto Tempo | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Mystics | 35c | 99.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 95.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 92.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Toronto Tempo | 56c | 89.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Washington Mystics | 39c | 64.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 56.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…0090backed Toronto Tempo | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…9ea8backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Toronto Tempo | 56c | 45.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 42.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 39.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 38.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 37.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8e…13febacked Toronto Tempo | 54c | 36.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 35.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Toronto Tempo | 64c | 35.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Toronto Tempo | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Toronto Tempo | 56c | 21.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Toronto Tempo | 58c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Toronto Tempo | 64c | 15.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Toronto TempoWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 170.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 171.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 172.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.