Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-07-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7daa3fb83a2f0ab27256194788ffa19f3427aa301a57279ae3cfe5299edb5113
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 8c | 1,345$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 39c | 1,032$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.54 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 961.2$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.12 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 69c | 306.45$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…ea93backed Yes | 77c | 258.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 62c | 225.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 159.59$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 39c | 147.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked No | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…32a1backed Yes | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 40c | 93.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 61c | 85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 81.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed No | 41c | 74.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed No | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12d…5a58backed Yes | 59c | 50.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Yes | 77c | 48.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4aa…f4e5backed No | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…1a92backed No | 40c | 36.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 29.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked Yes | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 59c | 22.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffcb…d630backed Yes | 62c | 18.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Yes | 61c | 17.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-07-12?this page
- Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-07-12?No won
- Will Rosenborg BK vs. Kristiansund BK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.