South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4db4809d1d7bf786fbc0df62ff5a081a8b25dd20d428a94cfa116583ebe6186a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $294,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 51c | 67,890$34,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,453.51 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 26,046$9,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,381.2 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 60c | 18,580$11,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,185.99 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 40c | 17,658$7,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,653.03 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Yes | 79c | 13,521$10,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.84 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…a04dbacked Yes | 63c | 13,139$8,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,821.9 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 50c | 10,571$5,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,285.34 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 37c | 8,618$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.53 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked No | 5c | 7,700$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.25 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 67c | 5,692$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.21 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed No | 36c | 5,484$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.31 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes | 66c | 5,199$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Yes | 51c | 4,749$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 49c | 4,671$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.83 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 50c | 4,307$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.39 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Yes | 63c | 4,179$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Yes | 50c | 4,074$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.48 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 49c | 3,600$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 73c | 3,097$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.02 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 41c | 2,651$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.74 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Yes | 50c | 2,095$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 30c | 2,087$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.08 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 49c | 2,050$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.48 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 24c | 1,973$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.05 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,938$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.24 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 49c | 1,929$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.32 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 49c | 1,690$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.09 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed Yes | 49c | 1,596$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Yes | 67c | 1,522$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.61 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed No | 50c | 1,490$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 49c | 1,440$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e5…9105backed No | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked No | 38c | 1,359$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 1,356$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.17 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 49c | 1,301$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 49c | 1,260$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.4 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes | 49c | 1,231$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.61 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 51c | 1,224$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.49 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 49c | 1,213$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,197$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.11 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes | 53c | 1,191$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.14 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 5c | 1,185$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 49c | 1,181$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.75 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 1,119$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.78 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 49c | 1,080$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.2 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked No | 2c | 1,021$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 1,020$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.3 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 1,020$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.3 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 1,020$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda88…ff25backed No | 50c | 964$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 6c | 952.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Yes | 56c | 897.21$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.92 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 8c | 894.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 50c | 867.39$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.78 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 52c | 861.53$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.15 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 67c | 820.95$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 28c | 799.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.97 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 47c | 799.5$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.05 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…8188backed No | 50c | 759$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed No | 51c | 720$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 670.38$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.19 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed No | 30c | 630.39$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.95 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed Yes | 69c | 626.6$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 49c | 624.47$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.97 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 44c | 590.93$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.22 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 30c | 587.43$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.44 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Yes | 77c | 585.46$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.47 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed No | 30c | 583.49$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.05 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked Yes | 66c | 565.22$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed No | 50c | 560$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Yes | 65c | 552.97$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 49c | 537.01$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.13 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf97…2cb3backed No | 35c | 531.24$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked No | 2c | 510$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed No | 51c | 505.87$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.67 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 23c | 503.69$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 11c | 474.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 17c | 429.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Yes | 67c | 424.56$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 4c | 422.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 25c | 421$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.23 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 36c | 416.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…3f61backed No | 49c | 413.92$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 30c | 407.08$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.91 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 49c | 393$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.57 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Yes | 51c | 392.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.35 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 49c | 360$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 49c | 360$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 49c | 360$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 49c | 360$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 27c | 352.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 49c | 352$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.48 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 57c | 347$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.41 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-17?this page
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-07-17?No won
- Will Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.