South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-07-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47547b29cd61a089a1d02007f3e958b0e2a6a650cec301bd9e1fb50d608e82a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 8c | 15,407$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.39 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 22c | 13,317$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.2 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 78c | 6,811$5,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.82 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 4,391$3,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.72 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 3,550$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.39 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 13c | 2,874$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.65 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 13c | 1,910$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 25c | 1,804$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.67 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 1,159$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.08 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,107$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed Yes | 18c | 950.01$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.82 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 78c | 854.53$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.76 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 77c | 838.64$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.89 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 730.92$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.39 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 12c | 689.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 18c | 658$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.56 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 614$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.22 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Yes | 10c | 585.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 10c | 542.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 76c | 221.38$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc359…e8d9backed Yes | 22c | 202.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 178.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 12c | 177.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 75c | 176$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 13c | 165.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 77c | 139.97$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 11c | 98.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 78c | 97.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Yes | 12c | 90.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed No | 78c | 76.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked No | 78c | 76.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 76c | 76.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Yes | 22c | 60.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 76c | 59.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…4758backed Yes | 24c | 44.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 77c | 42.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 75c | 31.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…76f0backed No | 75c | 30.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…c9f1backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 78c | 29.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 75c | 27.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…1baabacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked No | 75c | 15.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…6e45backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -26%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-07-17?this page
- Will Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?No won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.