TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: RED Canids vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
RED Canidsof RED Canids, paiN Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,010
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,010 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3833…33d1backed paiN Gaming55c8,994$4,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,939.2764155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6130…a7a6backed paiN Gaming56c7,607$4,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,259.937936.7%29 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked paiN Gaming58c5,212$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,001.181,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed RED Canids44c5,000$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,82017241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed RED Canids44c4,125$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.271,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed paiN Gaming28c3,500$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98032234.5%111 W · 211 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed RED Canids75c3,152$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.1169741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed RED Canids46c2,649$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.086434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed RED Canids44c2,396$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.765547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed paiN Gaming25c2,209$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.621,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked RED Canids47c2,114$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.979849%48 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed RED Canids57c2,031$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.531,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked paiN Gaming30c1,855$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.557246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed paiN Gaming53c1,633$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.711,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked paiN Gaming5c1,473$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.581,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked paiN Gaming57c1,461$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.991,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed paiN Gaming57c1,403$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9949847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RED Canids41c1,362$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.492,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed paiN Gaming16c1,258$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.392,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0e…bd73backed RED Canids43c1,225$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked paiN Gaming13c1,210$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.32,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked RED Canids71c1,154$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.7966559.5%396 W · 269 L+72.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc09b…d784backed paiN Gaming56c1,067$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked RED Canids47c1,031$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.7935435.3%125 W · 229 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed paiN Gaming19c1,004$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.271,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed RED Canids70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30096250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed RED Canids42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5803342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed paiN Gaming54c988.16$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.832,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked RED Canids44c987.01$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.0524535.9%88 W · 157 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked RED Canids45c892.65$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.9648847.3%231 W · 257 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed RED Canids43c869.99$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.943442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed paiN Gaming59c668.99$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.72,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bc…46f8backed paiN Gaming30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027340.7%111 W · 162 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcefd…d6aabacked RED Canids51c642.39$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.096731.3%21 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed paiN Gaming24c621.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504630.4%14 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed RED Canids42c599.99$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34814339.2%56 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed RED Canids44c588$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2862451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed paiN Gaming14c550$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.031,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed RED Canids44c542$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.5211860.2%71 W · 47 L+12.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+44.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5af8…9f99backed paiN Gaming30c538.61$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2730744%135 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked RED Canids65c533.99$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.966845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…6193backed paiN Gaming57c530$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.121350.2%107 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef9…3d08backed paiN Gaming57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010246.1%47 W · 55 L-15.5wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3a15…0350backed RED Canids70c507.86$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.963265.6%21 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd9…56cfbacked RED Canids40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30012525.6%32 W · 93 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed RED Canids73c499.82$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0697854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed RED Canids44c473.35$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.5412843%55 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked RED Canids44c450$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25240546.2%187 W · 218 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed RED Canids43c441.86$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8619752.8%104 W · 93 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d40…5739backed paiN Gaming49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009848%47 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked RED Canids72c400$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.551,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x881c…1dddbacked RED Canids52c383.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked RED Canids75c380.52$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.842,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked RED Canids56c378.22$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.421,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed RED Canids45c369.8$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.8734448.3%166 W · 178 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6777…1a8dbacked paiN Gaming57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022751.5%117 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb550…2799backed paiN Gaming57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed RED Canids46c346.97$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.671,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc648…dcc2backed RED Canids50c344$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17222238.7%86 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked paiN Gaming6c326.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.571,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed paiN Gaming46c322.33$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.27742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed paiN Gaming58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17426371.9%189 W · 74 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed RED Canids47c299.95$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8710634.9%37 W · 69 L-14.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked paiN Gaming52c290.1$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.851,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked paiN Gaming11c283$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1319835.4%70 W · 128 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa56e…1c76backed RED Canids61c265$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.957566.7%50 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed paiN Gaming5c254.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.751,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked paiN Gaming25c242.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1355628.6%159 W · 397 L-31.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed RED Canids45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1218838.6%34 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3045…195cbacked RED Canids48c218.7$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+62.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed paiN Gaming25c203.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6339951.1%204 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f9a…000dbacked RED Canids48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1046051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked paiN Gaming57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11495048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed RED Canids44c197.69$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5535542.3%150 W · 205 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5848…56a1backed paiN Gaming51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed RED Canids45c191.96$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.585750.9%29 W · 28 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed paiN Gaming53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056949.4%281 W · 288 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked paiN Gaming30c188.54$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.721,05539.6%418 W · 637 L-74.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x92a9…0e78backed paiN Gaming27c165.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3338342.8%164 W · 219 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d29…872abacked paiN Gaming31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed paiN Gaming31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5062739.9%250 W · 377 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked paiN Gaming58c155.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.946852.9%36 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked paiN Gaming39c149.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1377741.7%324 W · 453 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed paiN Gaming36c149.85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.031,05746.1%487 W · 570 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed paiN Gaming25c147$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.331,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked RED Canids42c143.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.271,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed RED Canids45c138$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.98239%32 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed RED Canids51c133.56$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.441,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked paiN Gaming19c133$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.91,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed RED Canids70c127.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.761,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a9d…6c84backed RED Canids69c127.73$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2934438.7%133 W · 211 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed paiN Gaming13c111.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.249632.3%31 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-47.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaea6…2d1dbacked RED Canids45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked RED Canids46c108$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3213240.9%54 W · 78 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec95…a2dcbacked RED Canids45c106.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.723948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed RED Canids45c106.58$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.624337.2%16 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed RED Canids45c106.58$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.621957.9%11 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+92.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed paiN Gaming34c101.73$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.182,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed paiN Gaming50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5046248.9%226 W · 236 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3109…ff47backed paiN Gaming27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2719350.3%97 W · 96 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.