TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: RED Canids vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
RED Canidsof RED Canids, paiN Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$260,952

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,909 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked RED Canids43c26,100$11,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,827.081,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed paiN Gaming14c22,946$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.711,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked paiN Gaming33c22,567$7,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,454.311,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed paiN Gaming56c14,994$8,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,446.564155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked paiN Gaming57c11,526$6,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,544.042,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked RED Canids53c9,662$5,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5481,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed paiN Gaming5c9,295$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.741,47648.3%713 W · 763 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed paiN Gaming46c8,720$4,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,041.962,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa759…1119backed RED Canids44c5,216$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,908.6311367.3%76 W · 37 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed paiN Gaming54c5,062$2,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,733.4127957.7%161 W · 118 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed paiN Gaming1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked paiN Gaming33c5,000$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.491,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad46…e6a6backed paiN Gaming1c4,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60432.3%1 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-61.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed paiN Gaming27c4,108$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.6269741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed RED Canids43c3,913$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,211.222857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed RED Canids52c3,644$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.481,53654.8%842 W · 694 L+75.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed RED Canids46c3,307$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.91,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked paiN Gaming1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30660%0 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed RED Canids42c3,000$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.92,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked paiN Gaming62c2,923$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.3153255.1%293 W · 239 L+23.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked paiN Gaming40c2,917$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.7567553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed RED Canids41c2,908$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.631,93048.2%930 W · 1,000 L+24.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed RED Canids53c2,817$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.851,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed RED Canids42c2,811$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.4922953.7%123 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b0…5e5ebacked paiN Gaming1c2,600$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26682.9%2 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed RED Canids59c2,557$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.891,37937.7%520 W · 859 L-43.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x369f…1706backed RED Canids46c2,385$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.765046%23 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed paiN Gaming61c2,244$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.6162158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked paiN Gaming56c2,219$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.8298956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf496…fe79backed paiN Gaming54c2,215$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.5530546.9%143 W · 162 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked RED Canids44c2,136$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.771,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41d1…bac0backed RED Canids44c2,118$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.546844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd403…a817backed paiN Gaming2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40345.9%2 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick2cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked RED Canids64c1,860$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.714452.1%75 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked RED Canids61c1,813$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.8343346.7%202 W · 231 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked paiN Gaming57c1,737$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.591,66059.5%987 W · 673 L+97.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x141a…d05abacked paiN Gaming62c1,575$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.8821968%149 W · 70 L+28.8wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+38.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdccd…f41abacked paiN Gaming42c1,505$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.5317839.3%70 W · 108 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x823d…f85bbacked RED Canids67c1,502$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.2212054.2%65 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked RED Canids58c1,471$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.4415552.3%81 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked RED Canids67c1,445$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.0765359.4%388 W · 265 L+70.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb3bc…46f8backed paiN Gaming25c1,430$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36026940.9%110 W · 159 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed paiN Gaming54c1,415$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.461,09638.9%426 W · 670 L-47.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a93…8e36backed RED Canids74c1,346$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.9910365%67 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed RED Canids50c1,323$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.491,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed RED Canids44c1,278$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.91,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed paiN Gaming8c1,230$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.41,14945.2%519 W · 630 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6455…2604backed paiN Gaming46c1,181$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54117961.5%110 W · 69 L+15.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed RED Canids45c1,130$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.4596250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed paiN Gaming57c1,053$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed paiN Gaming55c1,049$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.1345148.1%217 W · 234 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed paiN Gaming60c1,042$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.138963%245 W · 144 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e03…040fbacked RED Canids51c1,002$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.088047.5%38 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6155…808ebacked RED Canids44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked paiN Gaming55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9983460.8%507 W · 327 L+44.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed paiN Gaming55c959.05$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.489345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed paiN Gaming52c950.88$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.572,15253.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L+58.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3f1…401ebacked paiN Gaming8c923.89$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7935943.7%157 W · 202 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed RED Canids61c919.79$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.131,04450.4%526 W · 518 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed paiN Gaming56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010839.8%43 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed paiN Gaming58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024658.5%144 W · 102 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked paiN Gaming56c823.42$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.172,67235.7%954 W · 1,718 L-153.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed paiN Gaming31c817.03$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.621,92335.9%690 W · 1,233 L-98.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked RED Canids47c799.99$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.882,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked paiN Gaming29c798.89$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6863352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bcc…b4fabacked paiN Gaming57c783.95$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.4523549.4%116 W · 119 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed RED Canids48c782.88$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.15547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed paiN Gaming52c715.11$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.51,79251.1%916 W · 876 L+50.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x825e…2a99backed paiN Gaming43c699.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025949%127 W · 132 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed RED Canids50c694$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.15133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed RED Canids48c671.35$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.440446%186 W · 218 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed paiN Gaming49c606.93$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.493,11933.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L-151.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed paiN Gaming14c599.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.151,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…6193backed paiN Gaming55c540.67$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.8621350.2%107 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x811a…9a3cbacked paiN Gaming57c526.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9910151.5%52 W · 49 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked RED Canids43c514.66$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.3695847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked RED Canids48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26048847.3%231 W · 257 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b7a…8238backed RED Canids40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30014735.4%52 W · 95 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05df…e268backed paiN Gaming58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29023241.4%96 W · 136 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed RED Canids46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed paiN Gaming26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13086251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked RED Canids64c469.15$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.161,30147.2%614 W · 687 L-32.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb8…5a88backed RED Canids43c462.23$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.5733856.2%190 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed RED Canids49c417.17$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7725865.5%169 W · 89 L+23.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+16.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9473…cba4backed RED Canids62c413.59$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6152045%234 W · 286 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked RED Canids49c409.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6227644.9%124 W · 152 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed paiN Gaming58c408$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6512747.2%60 W · 67 L-11.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed paiN Gaming55c399.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22022746.3%105 W · 122 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed RED Canids47c399.98$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.991,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked RED Canids66c369.62$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5284942.5%361 W · 488 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed paiN Gaming56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20079650.6%403 W · 393 L+47.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked RED Canids68c356.01$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6138931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa45a…02e5backed paiN Gaming42c355.68$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035647.5%169 W · 187 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf24…8a7ebacked paiN Gaming57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013163.4%83 W · 48 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed RED Canids61c325.79$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7950344.9%226 W · 277 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed paiN Gaming32c316.32$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.41,60517.5%281 W · 1,324 L-244.2wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked paiN Gaming58c312.27$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.916852.9%36 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdee7…1ad7backed RED Canids65c306.42$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4212962.8%81 W · 48 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad0…6187backed RED Canids44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16816443.3%71 W · 93 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked RED Canids44c297.73$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.731,44143.4%625 W · 816 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.