Tennis · resolved market
ITF Zhengzhou: Varvara Panshina vs Jiaqi Wang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4399e810acc8692743f9538c2bd75c196d6c4d7b2a72b4df9b285e939f8c7a9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jiaqi Wangof Varvara Panshina, Jiaqi Wang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Jiaqi Wang | 45c | 1,310$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.31 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Varvara Panshina | 75c | 892.32$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.12 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Varvara Panshina | 76c | 784.62$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Jiaqi Wang | 78c | 670$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Jiaqi Wang | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 378 | 49.2%186 W · 192 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jiaqi Wang | 80c | 634$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.8 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Varvara Panshina | 3c | 610$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Varvara Panshina | 64c | 599.99$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Varvara Panshina | 26c | 567.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…8d7abacked Varvara Panshina | 46c | 532.72$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Varvara Panshina | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Jiaqi Wang | 78c | 399.04$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jiaqi Wang | 33c | 382.55$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.31 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jiaqi Wang | 33c | 359.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Jiaqi Wang | 36c | 313.89$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Jiaqi Wang | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 331 | 55.6%184 W · 147 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Jiaqi Wang | 37c | 234.27$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.59 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96c…87e5backed Varvara Panshina | 66c | 228.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jiaqi Wang | 34c | 199.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.06 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec04…1bcebacked Varvara Panshina | 65c | 183.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Varvara Panshina | 67c | 178.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 591 | 57.7%341 W · 250 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Varvara Panshina | 37c | 162.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Varvara Panshina | 67c | 141.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Jiaqi Wang | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Varvara Panshina | 34c | 127.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Jiaqi Wang | 64c | 101.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…bd73backed Varvara Panshina | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jiaqi Wang | 78c | 84.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Varvara Panshina | 72c | 74.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Varvara Panshina | 69c | 69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Varvara Panshina | 75c | 64.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Varvara Panshina | 75c | 64.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…8e38backed Varvara Panshina | 75c | 64.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Jiaqi Wang | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Jiaqi Wang | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…9d98backed Jiaqi Wang | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Jiaqi Wang | 36c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Jiaqi Wang | 31c | 38.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Jiaqi Wang | 35c | 35.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Jiaqi Wang | 63c | 35.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jiaqi Wang | 74c | 28.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Varvara Panshina | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.