Dota2 · resolved market
PARIVISION to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8094b9ab23755d71618b46edc84fc1afb6bebf0cb8a5501b2885975d2101b9f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 61c | 2,727$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.24 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 39c | 2,334$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.96 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 62c | 2,120$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.76 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 32c | 2,074$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.72 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 36c | 1,843$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.4 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 62c | 988.44$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.55 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 35c | 685.92$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.07 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…6aa1backed No | 40c | 649.98$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.49 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed No | 22c | 547.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…bd73backed No | 37c | 545.88$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 63c | 500.1$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.04 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 36c | 480$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 407.84$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed No | 40c | 399.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 21c | 358.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 79c | 335.69$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed No | 37c | 239.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 71c | 229.9$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed No | 45c | 222.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 79c | 203.5$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed No | 39c | 198.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes | 59c | 168.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 37c | 143.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yes | 61c | 118.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 43c | 117.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Yes | 75c | 115.8$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 62c | 101.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…5146backed Yes | 59c | 98.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 253 | 56.5%143 W · 110 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 45c | 92.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 79c | 86.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Yes | 63c | 79.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 62c | 78.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 63c | 71.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…0fa8backed Yes | 60c | 68.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…07e8backed No | 46c | 65.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 79c | 52.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 583 | 46.3%270 W · 313 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Yes | 80c | 50.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 435 | 60.5%263 W · 172 L | +43.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked No | 41c | 45.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…d883backed Yes | 59c | 35.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…2b19backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed No | 40c | 34.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75f6…75c7backed Yes | 60c | 33.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 42c | 32.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…ec81backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 120 | 73.3%88 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6f…1284backed Yes | 78c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 37c | 30.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 524 | 50.8%266 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dc…cd45backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PARIVISION to win 2-0?this page
- Vici Gaming to win 2-0?No won
- Vici Gaming vs PARIVISION: Draw (1-1)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.