Tennis · resolved market
Bratislava: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Alexander Donski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea52a111c37a0b6486ec098e531e3aff74d6e6c64d7b7878d06c7787ec459df4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joao Lucas Da Silvaof Joao Lucas Da Silva, Alexander Donski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alexander Donski | 12c | 7,763$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.17 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aee…c455backed Alexander Donski | 7c | 5,739$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 77c | 2,832$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.38 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Alexander Donski | 23c | 2,593$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.29 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Alexander Donski | 27c | 2,051$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.88 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Alexander Donski | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 79c | 1,791$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alexander Donski | 18c | 1,229$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.78 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Alexander Donski | 9c | 1,088$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Alexander Donski | 17c | 1,038$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 73c | 688.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.23 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Alexander Donski | 3c | 618.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…6455backed Alexander Donski | 4c | 557.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 7.4%9 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Alexander Donski | 24c | 500$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc44…3a2fbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 77c | 470$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Alexander Donski | 22c | 448.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 76c | 324.51$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 80c | 324.04$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 70c | 315$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…bd73backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Alexander Donski | 20c | 312.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 72c | 300$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 78c | 253.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Alexander Donski | 15c | 250.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alexander Donski | 20c | 249.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…2f04backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 79c | 230.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Alexander Donski | 22c | 195$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Alexander Donski | 20c | 186.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…4084backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 70c | 178.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Alexander Donski | 14c | 176$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…5ccabacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Alexander Donski | 19c | 169$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 80c | 157.05$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alexander Donski | 21c | 154.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Alexander Donski | 27c | 130.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 79c | 129.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Alexander Donski | 27c | 122.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 78c | 116.13$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Alexander Donski | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alexander Donski | 10c | 99.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fd…0c0abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 79c | 97.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Alexander Donski | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 76c | 93.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 79c | 92.41$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 78c | 78.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Alexander Donski | 19c | 61.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Alexander Donski | 21c | 60.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Alexander Donski | 21c | 56.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Alexander Donski | 21c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Alexander Donski | 22c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 73c | 34.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9972…6d7abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 64c | 34.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 78c | 30.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438b…29e5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…5885backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 43c | 24.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe67f…c3f3backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…82b5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…ace5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 79c | 15.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.