CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf670ac60d43fd33dc3c2b043b6d8c5b05ba521907bc6fc5c8b8a3d0c57f66f51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Yawara Esports, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Yawara Esports | 45c | 6,048$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.07 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 4,951$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yawara Esports | 47c | 4,772$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.13 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Yawara Esports | 61c | 4,173$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.99 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 55c | 3,392$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.49 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…bd73backed Keyd | 55c | 2,931$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.95 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…6ee2backed Keyd | 69c | 2,591$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Keyd | 54c | 2,108$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.38 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…87f6backed Keyd | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Yawara Esports | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Keyd | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yawara Esports | 57c | 1,565$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.63 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Keyd | 56c | 1,100$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.34 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked Yawara Esports | 46c | 1,066$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.18 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…952dbacked Keyd | 48c | 1,050$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.17 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Keyd | 54c | 1,005$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.7 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Keyd | 65c | 999.85$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.46 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Yawara Esports | 25c | 995.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Keyd | 47c | 983.68$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.84 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Keyd | 50c | 932.92$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.97 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed Yawara Esports | 55c | 846.85$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.42 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Keyd | 52c | 820.34$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.69 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Keyd | 55c | 798.11$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.11 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…dfdfbacked Yawara Esports | 47c | 763.33$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yawara Esports | 59c | 742.56$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.49 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…500cbacked Keyd | 55c | 720$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Keyd | 54c | 699.97$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.99 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…b406backed Yawara Esports | 50c | 639.86$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.02 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yawara Esports | 39c | 620$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.6 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Yawara Esports | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed Yawara Esports | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +183%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed Keyd | 23c | 600$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Yawara Esports | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…92f6backed Keyd | 54c | 556$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.76 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Keyd | 64c | 539.99$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.4 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Yawara Esports | 54c | 505.34$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.86 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…7449backed Keyd | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Yawara Esports | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Keyd | 56c | 472.9$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.87 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Keyd | 55c | 462.8$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.26 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Keyd | 54c | 447.41$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.81 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Keyd | 60c | 443.82$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.79 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Keyd | 52c | 412.03$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.56 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Keyd | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed Keyd | 32c | 400$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Keyd | 58c | 399.89$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.91 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Yawara Esports | 36c | 383.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Yawara Esports | 29c | 343.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…d590backed Yawara Esports | 46c | 326.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yawara Esports | 32c | 323.34$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Keyd | 52c | 320.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.94 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yawara Esports | 59c | 312$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.46 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Keyd | 53c | 309.96$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.68 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yawara Esports | 47c | 307$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Keyd | 54c | 296.11$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.21 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Keyd | 59c | 292.26$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yawara Esports | 36c | 288.6$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Keyd | 55c | 281.82$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Keyd | 72c | 277.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Yawara Esports | 23c | 264.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Yawara Esports | 42c | 261.91$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yawara Esports | 21c | 260.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yawara Esports | 71c | 251.24$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.57 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Keyd | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Yawara Esports | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Yawara Esports | 25c | 240.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Yawara Esports | 38c | 233.16$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yawara Esports | 51c | 228.96$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Keyd | 45c | 227.2$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.16 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 58c | 220.35$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.53 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Keyd | 54c | 218$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yawara Esports | 23c | 209.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Keyd | 52c | 203.72$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Yawara Esports | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…3833backed Yawara Esports | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked Yawara Esports | 52c | 196.72$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Yawara Esports | 46c | 186.39$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Keyd | 54c | 184$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yawara Esports | 48c | 183.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yawara Esports | 46c | 180.4$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Keyd | 68c | 177.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Keyd | 58c | 177.39$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Keyd | 58c | 175$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 120 | 71.7%86 W · 34 L | +16.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yawara Esports | 49c | 164.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Keyd | 55c | 159.18$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed Yawara Esports | 29c | 155.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Yawara Esports | 26c | 150.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed Yawara Esports | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Keyd | 55c | 147.27$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Yawara Esports | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Keyd | 56c | 139.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 167 | 20.4%34 W · 133 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Yawara Esports | 34c | 138.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Yawara Esports | 58c | 137.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Keyd | 65c | 134.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yawara Esports | 43c | 132$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Yawara Esports | 57c | 127$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Yawara Esports | 43c | 124.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yawara Esports | 21c | 124.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Yawara Esports | 36c | 119.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Yawara Esports | 38c | 115.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.