Dota2 · resolved market
Team Liquid to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fdb5779a8316d458db423802a22250c23f967115a85655097f7ad58be8d9d6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3954…22d9backed Yes | 57c | 53,173$30,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,436.05 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked No | 41c | 15,365$6,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,065.07 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Yes | 56c | 8,903$4,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,985.37 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3a…5678backed No | 47c | 5,524$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 44c | 5,358$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.6 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Yes | 54c | 5,325$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.35 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 45c | 4,705$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.53 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked No | 49c | 4,451$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.14 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…5f53backed No | 46c | 4,168$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 45c | 4,154$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.72 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 45c | 4,143$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.39 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…1dccbacked No | 44c | 3,846$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,565$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.9 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 44c | 2,354$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.09 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yes | 56c | 2,301$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.34 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed No | 42c | 2,294$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.86 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 43c | 2,281$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.62 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 49c | 2,196$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.33 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 44c | 2,185$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.01 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Yes | 58c | 2,166$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.28 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 45c | 2,084$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.17 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 41c | 1,973$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.01 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed No | 43c | 1,820$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.79 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6729…f17dbacked No | 39c | 1,751$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked No | 39c | 1,750$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.49 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 36c | 1,041$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.2 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 44c | 991.52$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d8…4cf8backed No | 41c | 956.74$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked No | 44c | 901.56$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.2 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked No | 42c | 854.98$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.89 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed Yes | 57c | 768$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 58c | 622.4$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.5 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 39c | 602.65$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.45 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Yes | 52c | 560.01$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed No | 42c | 526.69$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.69 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked No | 45c | 524$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.58 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 49c | 509.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.29 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…1d37backed Yes | 57c | 505.58$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.46 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 48c | 468.65$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.72 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked No | 43c | 449.99$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.49 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Yes | 72c | 435.49$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 58c | 351.46$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.75 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Yes | 59c | 339.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Yes | 51c | 303.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.81 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…bd73backed No | 41c | 301.42$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 59c | 250$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.04 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked No | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 162 | 43.2%70 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…6aa1backed No | 34c | 236.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Yes | 58c | 223.44$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.92 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Yes | 57c | 222.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.62 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 57c | 221.34$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.16 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…878ebacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 55c | 198.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…ab8abacked No | 51c | 194.76$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43df…c8acbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed Yes | 41c | 153.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed No | 42c | 143.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yes | 59c | 143.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 45c | 136.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fe…311abacked Yes | 57c | 130$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 48c | 115.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e74…6bdfbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 45c | 98.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 40c | 98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…bcb1backed Yes | 47c | 81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked No | 43c | 77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed No | 43c | 73.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 40c | 71.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed No | 42c | 70.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 51c | 66.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0289…cb50backed Yes | 59c | 64.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Yes | 35c | 63.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Yes | 57c | 61.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 30c | 57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No | 43c | 55.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed Yes | 55c | 54.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9f…799cbacked Yes | 56c | 53.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0326…370fbacked No | 47c | 52.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…f252backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef2…8ff3backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c6…9dc1backed Yes | 57c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 32c | 44.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked No | 49c | 42.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3733…8810backed No | 43c | 40.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 128 | 60.9%78 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Yes | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Yes | 57c | 36.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…064ebacked No | 70c | 35.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…d0cbbacked Yes | 42c | 35.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team Liquid to win 2-0?this page
- PlayTime to win 2-0?No won
- Team Liquid vs PlayTime: Draw (1-1)?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.