Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bd51a2ecc2234b5ca52e276a3a23d866866f65ce21fe49e8946327feb1f7a21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Over | 49c | 861.67$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.22 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Under | 51c | 392.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.31 | 634 | 48.1%305 W · 329 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Over | 54c | 281.31$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.91 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Under | 50c | 250.71$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 54c | 198.7$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb887…4c1bbacked Over | 58c | 194$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.52 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 42c | 189.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.44 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…5ab8backed Under | 46c | 184.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Under | 51c | 151.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Under | 45c | 104.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Under | 50c | 98.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 95.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 54c | 89.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 44c | 63.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 332 | 63.6%211 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2864…c074backed Over | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…cf59backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 56c | 18.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Kiwoom DRX won
- Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)Kiwoom DRX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupKiwoom DRX won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerKiwoom DRX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.